On average, there are two bicycle thefts every ten square miles during the course of a month. What is the probability that there will no bicycle thefts in a ten square mile area next month? What is the probability that there will be at least one bicycle theft in a twenty square mile area?

College Algebra
10th Edition
ISBN:9781337282291
Author:Ron Larson
Publisher:Ron Larson
Chapter8: Sequences, Series,and Probability
Section8.7: Probability
Problem 11ECP: A manufacturer has determined that a machine averages one faulty unit for every 500 it produces....
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  1. On average, there are two bicycle thefts every ten square miles during the course of a month.
    1. What is the probability that there will no bicycle thefts in a ten square mile area next month?
    2. What is the probability that there will be at least one bicycle theft in a twenty square mile area?
Expert Solution
Step 1

a. Define the Random Variable,

X : Number of bicycle thefts in ten square miles next month

Average number of bicycle thefts = 2

This problem can be modelled as Poisson distribution.

So, X ~ Poisson(2)

PMF of X is given by,

P(X=x) =e-22xx!

To find the probability,

P(no cycle thefts)

= P(X=0) 

= e-2 = 0.1353

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