PDO has initiated a project to dig new oil well. The probabilities of completion of project on time will be significantly affected by rain. The probability that the project will be completed on time with and without rain is 0.62 and 0.92 respectively. If the probability that it will rain is 0.45, then determine the probability that the project will not be completed on time.                                                                                                                         2. An Oman manufacturing company uses three different analytical plans for the design and development of a specific product. Basically, they are used three different times due to cost, the company implements three plans. Plans 1, 2 and 3 are used for 35%, 20% and 45% of products, respectively. The defect rate (F) is different for the following three plans (Dj): P (F | D1) =0.05,                 P (F | D2) =0.05 P (F | D3) = 0.02,       Where, P (F | Dj) is the probability of a defective product given plan Dj. If a random product is observed and found to be defective, what plan was most likely used and thus responsible?

Holt Mcdougal Larson Pre-algebra: Student Edition 2012
1st Edition
ISBN:9780547587776
Author:HOLT MCDOUGAL
Publisher:HOLT MCDOUGAL
Chapter11: Data Analysis And Probability
Section11.8: Probabilities Of Disjoint And Overlapping Events
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  1. PDO has initiated a project to dig new oil well. The probabilities of completion of project on time will be significantly affected by rain. The probability that the project will be completed on time with and without rain is 0.62 and 0.92 respectively. If the probability that it will rain is 0.45, then determine the probability that the project will not be completed on time.

                                                                                                                       

2. An Oman manufacturing company uses three different analytical plans for the design and development of a specific product. Basically, they are used three different times due to cost, the company implements three plans. Plans 1, 2 and 3 are used for 35%, 20% and 45% of products, respectively. The defect rate (F) is different for the following three plans (Dj):

P (F | D1) =0.05,                 P (F | D2) =0.05


P (F | D3) = 0.02,

      Where, P (F | Dj) is the probability of a defective product given plan Dj.

If a random product is observed and found to be defective, what plan was most likely used and thus responsible?

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