Problem 4 A Saudi company has bid for an export order to a customer in the U.K. That order would generate a cash flow of £5 million in three months. Currently, the spot rate is SAR4.70/£ and the three-month forward rate is SAR4.68/£. The company's CFO wants to hedge this FX exposure, and he has asked you to help him determine whether it should be with a forward or with an option, considering that the company faces two sources of uncertainty: The uncertainty related to the export order, which it may or may not receive . The uncertainty related to the exchange rate between the SAR and the £ in three months Forward 4. If the company hedges with a forward, what would happen now? Specifically: . What would the position be? . What would the exchange rate on the forward be? . Would there be a cash flow? Buy £ forward or Sell £ forward Position Exchange rate Cash Flow Yes or No

Essentials Of Business Analytics
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Chapter11: Monte Carlo Simulation
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Problem 4
A Saudi company has bid for an export order to a customer in
the U.K. That order would generate a cash flow of £5 million in
three months.
Currently, the spot rate is SAR4.70/£ and the three-month
forward rate is SAR4.68/£.
The company's CFO wants to hedge this FX exposure, and he
has asked you to help him determine whether it should be with a
forward or with an option, considering that the company faces
two sources of uncertainty:
. The uncertainty related to the export order, which it may or
may not receive
. The uncertainty related to the exchange rate between the
SAR and the £ in three months
Forward
4. If the company hedges with a forward, what would
happen now? Specifically:
. What would the position be?
• What would the exchange rate on the forward be?
. Would there be a cash flow?
Buy £ forward or Sell £ forward
Position
Exchange rate
Cash Flow Yes or No
Transcribed Image Text:Problem 4 A Saudi company has bid for an export order to a customer in the U.K. That order would generate a cash flow of £5 million in three months. Currently, the spot rate is SAR4.70/£ and the three-month forward rate is SAR4.68/£. The company's CFO wants to hedge this FX exposure, and he has asked you to help him determine whether it should be with a forward or with an option, considering that the company faces two sources of uncertainty: . The uncertainty related to the export order, which it may or may not receive . The uncertainty related to the exchange rate between the SAR and the £ in three months Forward 4. If the company hedges with a forward, what would happen now? Specifically: . What would the position be? • What would the exchange rate on the forward be? . Would there be a cash flow? Buy £ forward or Sell £ forward Position Exchange rate Cash Flow Yes or No
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