Project 1 50% $120,000 50% -$50,000 Project 2 30% $100,000 40% $50,000 30% -$60,000 Project 3 70% $20,000 30% -$5,000 Project 4 30% $40,000 30% $30,000 20% $20,000 20% -$50,000

Entrepreneurial Finance
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337635653
Author:Leach
Publisher:Leach
Chapter14: Security Structures And Determining Enterprise Values
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 9EP
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Suppose that your organization is deciding which of four projects to bid on, as summarized in the following table. Assume that all up-front investments are not recovered, so they are shown as negative profits. Draw a diagram and calculate the EMV for each project. Write a few paragraphs explaining which projects you would bid on. Be sure to use the EMV information and your personal risk tolerance to justify your answer. 

 

Project
Chance of Outcome
Estimated Profits
Project 1
50%
$120,000
50%
-$50,000
Project 2
30%
$100,000
40%
$50,000
30%
-$60,000
Project 3
70%
$20,000
30%
-$5,000
Project 4
30%
$40,000
30%
$30,000
20%
$20,000
20%
-$50,000
Transcribed Image Text:Project Chance of Outcome Estimated Profits Project 1 50% $120,000 50% -$50,000 Project 2 30% $100,000 40% $50,000 30% -$60,000 Project 3 70% $20,000 30% -$5,000 Project 4 30% $40,000 30% $30,000 20% $20,000 20% -$50,000
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