Suppose you expect Moderna's Covid-19 vaccine to be approved by the FDA in two weeks. The consensus among scientists is that there is 80% chance that the FDA will authorize the use of the vaccine in the US but there is 20% chance that the FDA will not approve the vaccine. Moderna's current stock price is $157. Investors believe that if the FDA approves the vaccine, Moderna's stock price will surge to $180, and if the FDA doesn't approve the vaccine, the price will plunge to $135. As a speculating investor, I have decided to buy 200 call options on Moderna's stock with the strike price of $160 and expiration date of the day after FDA's scheduled announcement. Ignoring time value of money, what is the value of the options I have right now?
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Ma3.
Suppose you expect Moderna's Covid-19 vaccine to be approved by the FDA in two weeks.
The consensus among scientists is that there is 80% chance that the FDA will authorize the
use of the vaccine in the US but there is 20% chance that the FDA will not approve the
vaccine. Moderna's current stock price is $157. Investors believe that if the FDA approves
the vaccine, Moderna's stock price will surge to $180, and if the FDA doesn't approve the
vaccine, the price will plunge to $135. As a speculating investor, I have decided to buy 200
call options on Moderna's stock with the strike price of $160 and expiration date of the day
after FDA's scheduled announcement. Ignoring
options I have right now?
Step by step
Solved in 2 steps with 2 images
- On March 23, 2021, Pfizer announced that it aims to expand its vaccine business by becoming a leader in the new gene-based technology behind its successful Covid-19 shots. The following is a hypothetical scenario. Suppose the company undertakes a research and development project and uses the technology called mRNA to target other viruses and pathogens beyond the coronavirus. The project costs $500 million immediately and will generate a payoff of $ 1 billion next year if things go well, which happens with (65%+7%) probability. If things turn out not to work, however, the project will not generate any cash flows. The appropriate before-tax cost of capital for this project is 20% per year. The company has to pay taxes on the profit of this project at the rate of 21% (this low tax rate is a result of the US tax reform legislation enacted on 22 December 2017, i.e., P.L. 115-97), and the relevant marginal income tax rate of a representative investor of Pfizer is regarded as 30%. (i)…Following the outbreak of the Novel Coronavirus (COVID 19), CPC a pharmaceutical companyis considering introducing a new vaccine unto the market to help fight the virus. This will requirethe injection of huge capital to the tune of GH¢40,000,000 for the purchase of the equipment forproduction. It will cost CPC an additional GH¢ 5,500,000 to set up the production facility andinstall that equipment for production. Mr. Smart, the CEO of CPC believes that the vaccine couldbe manufactured in a building owned by the firm and located in East Legon. This vacant buildingand the land can be sold for GH¢ 1,500,000 after taxes. CPC will finance the production of theFollowing the outbreak of the Novel Coronavirus (COVID 19), CPC a pharmaceutical company is considering introducing a new vaccine unto the market to help fight the virus. This will require the injection of huge capital to the tune of GH¢40,000,000 for the purchase of the equipment for production. It will cost CPC an additional GH¢ 5,500,000 to set up the production facility and install that equipment for production. Mr. Smart, the CEO of CPC believes that the vaccine could be manufactured in a building owned by the firm and located in East Legon. This vacant building and the land can be sold for GH¢ 1,500,000 after taxes. CPC will finance the production of the vaccine (including initial working capital investment) by issuing 2000,000 new common stocks at GH¢ 20 per share from its existing shareholders. A total of GH¢ 40,000,000 is expected to be raised from the rights issue. It expects to finance the remaining investment including initial working capital investment from the issue of a…
- Following the outbreak of the Novel Coronavirus (COVID 19), CPC a pharmaceutical company is considering introducing a new vaccine unto the market to help fight the virus. This will require the injection of huge capital to the tune of GH¢40,000,000 for the purchase of the equipment for production. It will cost CPC an additional GH¢ 5,500,000 to set up the production facility and install that equipment for production. Mr. Smart, the CEO of CPC believes that the vaccine could be manufactured in a building owned by the firm and located in East Legon. This vacant building and the land can be sold for GH¢ 1,500,000 after taxes. CPC will finance the production of the vaccine (including initial working capitalinvestment) by issuing 2000,000 new common stocks at GH¢ 20 per share from its existing shareholders. A total of GH¢ 15,000,000 is expected to be raised from the rights issue. It expects to finance the remaining from the issue of a 5-year bondwith a before-tax yield to…Following the outbreak of the Novel Coronavirus (COVID 19), CPC a pharmaceutical company is considering introducing a new vaccine unto the market to help fight the virus. This will require the injection of huge capital to the tune of GH¢40,000,000 for the purchase of the equipment for production. It will cost CPC an additional GH¢ 5,500,000 to set up the production facility and install that equipment for production. Mr. Smart, the CEO of CPC believes that the vaccine could be manufactured in a building owned by the firm and located in East Legon. This vacant building and the land can be sold for GH¢ 1,500,000 after taxes. CPC will finance the production of the vaccine (including initial working capital investment) by issuing 2000,000 new common stocks at GH¢ 20 per share from its existing shareholders. A total of GH¢ 15,000,000 is expected to be raised from the rights issue. It expects to finance the remaining from the issue of a 5-year bond with a before-tax yield to maturity (YTM)…Following the outbreak of the Novel Coronavirus (COVID 19), CPC a pharmaceutical company is considering introducing a new vaccine unto the market to help fight the virus. This will require the injection of huge capital to the tune of GH¢40,000,000 for the purchase of the equipment for production. It will cost CPC an additional GH¢ 5,500,000 to set up the production facility and install that equipment for production. Mr. Smart, the CEO of CPC believes that the vaccine could be manufactured in a building owned by the firm and located in East Legon. This vacant building and the land can be sold for GH¢ 1,500,000 after taxes. CPC will finance the production of the vaccine (including initial working capital investment) by issuing 2000,000 new common stocks at GH¢ 20 per share from its existing shareholders. A total of GH¢ 15,000,000 is expected to be raised from the rights issue. It expects to finance the remaining from the issue of a 5-year bond with a before-tax yield to maturity (YTM)…
- Ang Electronics, Inc., has developed a new HD DVD. If the HD DVD is successful, the present value of the payoff (at the time the product is brought to market) is $34.3 million. If the HD DVD fails, the present value of the payoff is $12.3 million. If the product goes directly to market, there is a 50 percent chance of success. Alternatively, the company can delay the launch by one year and spend $1.33 million to test-market the HD DVD. Test-marketing would allow the firm to improve the product and increase the probability of success to 80 percent. The appropriate discount rate is 11 percent. Calculate the NPV of going directly to market and the NPV of test-marketing before going to market. (Do not round intermediate calculations and enter your answers in dollars, not millions of dollars, rounded to nearest whole dollar amount, e.g., 1,234,567.).Ang Electronics, Inc., has developed a new DVDR. If the DVDR is successful, the present value of the payoff (when the product is brought to market) is $34.8 million. If the DVDR fails, the present value of the payoff is $12.8 million. If the product goes directly to market, there is a 40 percent chance of success. Alternatively, the company can delay the launch by one year and spend $1.38 million to test market the DVDR. Test marketing would allow the firm to improve the product and increase the probability of success to 70 percent. The appropriate discount rate is 12 percent. Calculate the NPV of going directly to market and the NPV of test marketing before going to market.Ang Electronics, Inc., has developed a new DVDR. If the DVDR is successful, the present value of the payoff (when the product is brought to market) is $24 million. If the DVDR fails, the present value of the payoff is $8.5 million. If the product goes directly to market, there is a 50 percent chance of success. Alternatively, the company can delay the launch by one year and spend $1.2 million to test market the DVDR. Test marketing would allow the firm to improve the product and increase the probability of success to 80 percent. The appropriate discount rate is 11 percent. Calculate the NPV of going directly to market and the NPV of test marketing before going to market. (Do not round intermediate calculations and enter your answers in dollars, not millions of dollars, rounded to 2 decimal places, e.g., 1,234,567.89.) Should the firm conduct test marketing? multiple choice No Yes
- 13. Gadgeteer Inc. is planning the market strategy for their new widget. They could bring it directly to market. This would result in a 40% chance of a successful launch (and therefore a 60% chance of an unsuccessful one). A successful launch would result in a NPV of $22 million. A failed one would result in a negative NPV of $9 million. Or, they could test market the product for two years (thus delaying any potential launch by two years). The test marketing would also cost a present value of $1.5 million. However, it would increase the probability of success to 75%. The relevant discount rate is 11%. Should Gadgeteer test market the widget?Assume the same situation as described in (2) above, except that the company expects to sell 50,000 Rets through regular channels next year. Thus, accepting the U.S. Army’s order would require giving up regular sales of 7,000 Rets. Given this new information, what is the financial advantage (disadvantage) of accepting the U.S. Army's special order?Sinclair Pharmaceuticals, a small drug company, just completed development ofa vaccine that will protect against Helicobacter pylori, a bacteria that causes a number ofdiseases in the stomach. It is expected that Sinclair Pharmaceuticals will experienceextremely high growth over the next three years and will reinvest all of its earnings inexpanding the company over this time. Earnings were $1.20 per share before completionof the development of the vaccine and are expected to grow by 40% per year for the nextthree years. After this time, its expected growth will drop to 5% and stay there for theforeseeable future. Four years from now Sinclair will pay dividends that are 75% of itsearnings from there on forever.Question: If the equity discount rate is 10% per year, what is the value of a share ofSinclair Pharmaceuticals today?