Suppose you expect Moderna's Covid-19 vaccine to be approved by the FDA in two weeks.   The consensus among scientists is that there is 80% chance that the FDA will authorize the   use of the vaccine in the US but there is 20% chance that the FDA will not approve the   vaccine. Moderna's current stock price is $157. Investors believe that if the FDA approves   the vaccine, Moderna's stock price will surge to $180, and if the FDA doesn't approve the   vaccine, the price will plunge to $135. As a speculating investor, I have decided to buy 200   call options on Moderna's stock with the strike price of $160 and expiration date of the day   after FDA's scheduled announcement. Ignoring time value of money, what is the value of the   options I have right now?

EBK CFIN
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Chapter12: Capital Structure
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Ma3.

Suppose you expect Moderna's Covid-19 vaccine to be approved by the FDA in two weeks.

 

The consensus among scientists is that there is 80% chance that the FDA will authorize the

 

use of the vaccine in the US but there is 20% chance that the FDA will not approve the

 

vaccine. Moderna's current stock price is $157. Investors believe that if the FDA approves

 

the vaccine, Moderna's stock price will surge to $180, and if the FDA doesn't approve the

 

vaccine, the price will plunge to $135. As a speculating investor, I have decided to buy 200

 

call options on Moderna's stock with the strike price of $160 and expiration date of the day

 

after FDA's scheduled announcement. Ignoring time value of money, what is the value of the

 

options I have right now?

 

 

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