tate of the economy Probability T-Bills Phillips Pay -up Rubber-made Market Index Recession 0.2 7 -22 28 10 -13 Below Average 0.1 7 -2 14.7 -10 1 Average 0.3 7 20 0 7 15 Above Average 0.3 7 35 -10 45 29 Boom 0.1 7 50 -20 30 43 Mean   7 16.9 2.07 19.60 15 Standard Deviation   0 23.4 15.62

Essentials Of Investments
11th Edition
ISBN:9781260013924
Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Publisher:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
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% Return on T-Bills, Stocks and Market Index

State of the economy

Probability

T-Bills

Phillips

Pay -up

Rubber-made

Market Index

Recession

0.2

7

-22

28

10

-13

Below Average

0.1

7

-2

14.7

-10

1

Average

0.3

7

20

0

7

15

Above Average

0.3

7

35

-10

45

29

Boom

0.1

7

50

-20

30

43

Mean

 

7

16.9

2.07

19.60

15

Standard Deviation

 

0

23.4

15.62

18.92

17.71

Coefficient of Variation

 

0

1.39

7.55

0.97

1.18

Covariance with MP

           

Correlation with Market Index

 

0

1

-1.0

0.69

1

Beta

 

0

1.32

-0.88

0.74

1

CAPM Req. Return

 

7

17.54

-0.02

12.89

15.0

Valuation (Overvalued/Undervalued/Fairly valued)

 

Fairly valued

Overvalued

Undervalued

Undervalued

Fairly valued

Nature of stock

 

Defensive

Aggressive

Defensive

Defensive

Defensive

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