The number of times that a person has a cold each year is a Poisson random variable with parameter λ = 5. Suppose that a new drug has been developed that reduces this to λ = 3, but that the drug only works for 75% of the population. For the remaining 25% of the population there is no effect. A person takes the drug for an entire year. During the year the person had 2 colds. What is the probability that the drug had an effect on this person?

Algebra & Trigonometry with Analytic Geometry
13th Edition
ISBN:9781133382119
Author:Swokowski
Publisher:Swokowski
Chapter10: Sequences, Series, And Probability
Section10.8: Probability
Problem 31E
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The number of times that a person has a cold each year is a Poisson random variable with parameter λ = 5. Suppose that a new drug has been developed that reduces this to λ = 3, but that the drug only works for 75% of the population. For the remaining 25% of the population there is no effect. A person takes the drug for an entire year. During the year the person had 2 colds. What is the probability that the drug had an effect on this person?

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