There are three main types of methods to forecast exchange rates: technical forecasting fundamental forecasting, and market-based forecasting These three methods always make the same directional prediction regarding whether a currency is appreciating or
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- In the single-index model represented by the equation ri = E(ri) + βiF + ei, the term ei represents A. the impact of anticipated firm-specific events on security i's return. B. the impact of changes in the market on security i's return. C. the impact of unanticipated macroeconomic events on security i's return. D. the impact of anticipated macroeconomic events on security i's return. E. the impact of unanticipated firm-specific events on security i's return.If the forward rate is expected to be an unbiased estimate of the future spot rate, and interest rate parity holds, then: a. the international Fisher effect (IFE) is refuted. b. the international Fisher effect (IFE) is supported. c. covered interest arbitrage is feasible. d. the average absolute error from forecasting would equal zero.Explain the random walk model for exchange rate forecasting. Can it be consistent with technical analysis?
- According to the efficient market school, do the best job at predicting future spot exchange rates.The role of risk managers is to: A. Make prophetic forecasts C. Produce a point estimate of the U.S. Dollar/Euro exchange rate D. Take a defensive posture B. Uncover sources of risk and make them visibleWhich of the following refers to the Sharpe performance measure? It measures the sensitivity of a national market to world market movements. It shows an increase in the portfolio return at international level. It reflects the increase in the portfolio return at domestic-equivalent risk level. It estimates the excess return per standard deviation risk.
- Which of the following statements are true if the efficient market hypothesis holds?a. It implies that future events can be forecast with perfect accuracy.b. It implies that prices reflect all available information.c. It implies that security prices change for no discernible reason.d. It implies that prices do not fluctuate.Which of the following is correct with regards to Theories of Term Structure? When the shape of the yield curve depends on investors’ expectations about prospective prevailing interest rates, the Pure Exception Theory is being applied. When the economic outlook is improving, the yield curve inverts as it reflects no changes in inflation premium. The liquidity preference theory suggests that long-term rates are generally higher than short-term rates since investors perceive more liquidity in long-term investments. Under the Market segmentation theory, there is an apparent relationship between the yield curve and the prevailing rate of returns in each market segment.Consider the following information (Assume that Security M and Security N are in the same financial market): Standard Deviation BetaSecurity M 20% 1.25Security N 30% 0.80 Which security should have higher expected return? Group of answer choices Security M Security N Equal
- Consider the following information (Assume that Security M and Security N are in the same financial market and the market is efficient): Standard Deviation BetaSecurity M 20% 1.25Security N 30% 0.80 Which security has more systematic risk? Group of answer choices Security M Security N EqualAccording to the single index model, the inflation risk is an example of the:How does the stable inflation targeting approach impede bank flexibility? Explain the estimation of risk free rate in the global analysis of hurdle rates?