Use the naïve model. Compute for MAE and MSE Use a three period moving average. Compute for the MAE and MSE Use the simple exponential smoothing to make a forecasting table. Compute the MAE and MSE of the forecasts. Alpha = 0.1

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter14: Data Mining
Section14.2: Classification Methods
Problem 3P
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  1. DFC Company has recorded the past years sales for the company:

 

Year(t)

Sales(x)

(in Million Pesos)

2011(1)

2012(2)

2013(3)

2014(4)

2015(5)

2016(6)

2017(7)

2018(8)

2019(9)

2020(10)

219

224

268

272

253

284

254

278

282

298

 

  1. Use the naïve model. Compute for MAE and MSE
  2. Use a three period moving average. Compute for the MAE and MSE
  3. Use the simple exponential smoothing to make a forecasting table. Compute the MAE and MSE of the forecasts. Alpha = 0.1
  4. Use the least square method to make the forecasting table. Compute the MAE and MSE

 

*** Use excel or r programming

 

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Follow-up Question
  1. DFC Company has recorded the past years sales for the company:

 

Year(t)

Sales(x)

(in Million Pesos)

2011(1)

2012(2)

2013(3)

2014(4)

2015(5)

2016(6)

2017(7)

2018(8)

2019(9)

2020(10)

219

224

268

272

253

284

254

278

282

298

Use the least square method to make the forecasting table. Compute the MAE and MSE

 

*** Use excel or r programming

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