What is the probability that it came from Supplier 2? What is the probability that the defective did not come fram Supplier 3?

Holt Mcdougal Larson Pre-algebra: Student Edition 2012
1st Edition
ISBN:9780547587776
Author:HOLT MCDOUGAL
Publisher:HOLT MCDOUGAL
Chapter11: Data Analysis And Probability
Section11.8: Probabilities Of Disjoint And Overlapping Events
Problem 2C
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6. Suppose that a manufacturer buys approximately 60 percent of a raw material
(in boxes) from Supplier 1, 30 percent from Supplier 2, and 10 percent from
Supplier 3 (these are the prior probabilities). Far each supplier, delective rates
are as follows: Supplier 1: 0.01, Supplier 2: 0.02, and Supplier 3: 0.03. Suppose
that the manufacturer observes a defective box of raw material.
a) What is the probability that it came from Supplier 2?
b) What is the probability that the defective did not come from Supplier 3?
Transcribed Image Text:6. Suppose that a manufacturer buys approximately 60 percent of a raw material (in boxes) from Supplier 1, 30 percent from Supplier 2, and 10 percent from Supplier 3 (these are the prior probabilities). Far each supplier, delective rates are as follows: Supplier 1: 0.01, Supplier 2: 0.02, and Supplier 3: 0.03. Suppose that the manufacturer observes a defective box of raw material. a) What is the probability that it came from Supplier 2? b) What is the probability that the defective did not come from Supplier 3?
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