You observe a portfolio for five years and determine that its average return is 11.5% and the standard deviation of its returns in 19.8%. Would a 30% loss next year be outside the 95% confidence interval for this portfolio? The low end of the 95% prediction interval is %. (Enter your response as a percent rounded to one decimal place.) O A. No, you cannot be confident that the portfolio will not lose more than 30% of its value next year. This is because the low end of the prediction interval is less than - 30%. O B. Yes, you can be confident that the portfolio will not lose more than 30% of its value next year. This is because the low end of the prediction interval is greater than -30%. OC. No, you cannot be confident that the portfolio will not lose more than 30% of its value next year. This is because the low end of the prediction interval is greater than - 30%. O D. Yes, you can be confident that the portfolio will not lose more than 30% of its value next year. This is because the low end of the prediction interval is less than - 30%.

EBK CONTEMPORARY FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
14th Edition
ISBN:9781337514835
Author:MOYER
Publisher:MOYER
Chapter8: Analysis Of Risk And Return
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 12P
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You observe a portfolio for five years and determine that its average return is 11.5% and the standard deviation of its returns in 19.8%. Would a 30% loss next year be outside the 95% confidence
interval for this portfolio?
The low end of the 95% prediction interval is %. (Enter your response as a percent rounded to one decimal place.)
30%.
A. No, you cannot be confident that the portfolio will not lose more than 30% of its value next year. This is because the low end of the prediction interval is less than -
B. Yes, you can be confident that the portfolio will not lose more than 30% of its value next year. This is because the low end of the prediction interval is greater than 30%.
C. No, you cannot be confident that the portfolio will not lose more than 30% of its value next year. This is because the low end of the prediction interval is greater than -30%.
D. Yes, you can be confident that the portfolio will not lose more than 30% of its value next year. This is because the low end of the prediction interval is less than - 30%.
Transcribed Image Text:You observe a portfolio for five years and determine that its average return is 11.5% and the standard deviation of its returns in 19.8%. Would a 30% loss next year be outside the 95% confidence interval for this portfolio? The low end of the 95% prediction interval is %. (Enter your response as a percent rounded to one decimal place.) 30%. A. No, you cannot be confident that the portfolio will not lose more than 30% of its value next year. This is because the low end of the prediction interval is less than - B. Yes, you can be confident that the portfolio will not lose more than 30% of its value next year. This is because the low end of the prediction interval is greater than 30%. C. No, you cannot be confident that the portfolio will not lose more than 30% of its value next year. This is because the low end of the prediction interval is greater than -30%. D. Yes, you can be confident that the portfolio will not lose more than 30% of its value next year. This is because the low end of the prediction interval is less than - 30%.
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