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SCENARIO ANALYSIS Huang Industries is considering a proposed project whose estimated NPV is $12 million. This estimate assumes that economic conditions will be “average.” However, the CFO realizes that conditions could be better or worse, so she performed a scenario analysis and obtained these results: Economic Scenario Probability of Outcome NPV Recession 0.05 ($70 million) Below average 0.20 (25 million) Average 0.50 12 million Above average 0.20 20 million Boom 0.05 30 million Calculate the project's expected NPV, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation.

BuyFind

Fundamentals of Financial Manageme...

14th Edition
Eugene F. Brigham + 1 other
Publisher: Cengage Learning
ISBN: 9781285867977
BuyFind

Fundamentals of Financial Manageme...

14th Edition
Eugene F. Brigham + 1 other
Publisher: Cengage Learning
ISBN: 9781285867977

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Chapter
Section
Chapter 12, Problem 7P
Textbook Problem

SCENARIO ANALYSIS Huang Industries is considering a proposed project whose estimated NPV is $12 million. This estimate assumes that economic conditions will be “average.” However, the CFO realizes that conditions could be better or worse, so she performed a scenario analysis and obtained these results:

Economic Scenario Probability of Outcome NPV
Recession 0.05 ($70 million)
Below average 0.20 (25 million)
Average 0.50 12 million
Above average 0.20 20 million
Boom 0.05 30 million

Calculate the project's expected NPV, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation.

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