centage change in the

International Financial Management
14th Edition
ISBN:9780357130698
Author:Madura
Publisher:Madura
Chapter8: Relationships Among Inflation, Interest Rates, And Exchange Rates
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 14QA
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Deriving Forecasts of the Future Spot Rate

As of today, assume the following information is available:

 

U.S.

MEXICO

Real rate of interest required by investors

2%

2%

Nominal interest rate

11%

15%

Spot rate

$.20

One-year forward rate

$.19

  • Use the forward rate to forecast the percentage change in the Mexican peso over the next year.
  • Use the differential in expected inflation to forecast the percentage change in the Mexican peso over the next year.
  • Use the spot rate to forecast the percentage change in the Mexican peso over the next year.
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