Introduction The period following a recession, where the GDP of the economy is increasing, is encapsulated in the term ‘recovery’. Subsequently, an increase in national output would ensue, thus prompting the recovery and growth of the economy. As opposed to the previously existent contractionary period, the economy would now be working at higher capacity allowing factors such as the rate of unemployment to decline, in addition to increasing productivity. Illustrated in the diagram below shows the business cycle and recovery period. As shown in the diagram, the recovery stage occurs between the trough (the lowest point in the graph, and where the real output is equal to the potential output. Impact on values of imports The term …show more content…
Nevertheless, despite a decline in quantity demand for these good and services, the resultant increase in price may balance the decline that occurred to the demand. Thus, as a result of the elasticity of price of imported goods, the increase of price affecting imports, caused by deprecation of currency, may ultimately have negligible effect on the value of imports, and might possibly even cause it to increase. Additionally, despite the depreciation of the British pound in 2007, the UK’s economy experienced a 3.1% increase in imports. This is a result of the UK economy being at a stage of recovery, which would cause to increase imports, as the manufacturing division would import an increased amount of foreign products. Thus, it is plausible that a fall in the value of the GBP, which would inevitably cause an increase in price of imports, may prompt the value of imported goods and services to remain stagnant or decrease. Due to decreased labour productivity In the instance of a decline in the labour productivity of the UK in its entirety, a decline will consequently occur in the general production of goods in the country. This would trigger a chain of events that would concomitantly increase the cost of production per unit for the producers, causing the supply to decrease, regardless of the price it is sold at. These circumstances would result in a reduction of the aggregate supply (AS) of the
The beneficial effects on the economy may take as much as two years to be fully felt. I Further, the UK should be careful not to rely on a weak currency in order to support its competitiveness. An Exchange rates tend to fluctuate in value over time and the strongest economies are usually those with high productivity and low production costs, or those which produce highly innovative products. The long term performance of the UK economy could be adversely affected if a weakening of the currency was allowed to distract from these more fundamental determinants of economic performance. An Overall, however, in the current context, a weakening of Sterling is likely to be seen as beneficial for the UK economy, helping to support it through a difficult time and aiding a rebalancing of the economy towards the export sector. Despite this, it should be remembered that in other contexts, for example when controlling inflation is a more pressing problem, a fall in the exchange rate could be damaging.
The Law of diminishing returns states that if one factor of production is increased while the others remain constant, the overall returns will relatively decrease after a certain point. The total fixed cost is the same regardless of the output; the total variable costs will change with the level of output resulting in the total cost as the sum of the fixed cost and variable cost at each level of output. Over the 0 to 4 range of output, the TVC and TC curves slope upward. They reflect a decreasing rate due to the increasing minor returns. The slopes curves will increase due to these diminishing marginal returns.
go through cycles of expansion, recession and recovery. Monetary and fiscal policies can affect the timing and length of these cycles. In the expansion phase, the economy grows, businesses add jobs and consumer spending increases. At some point, known as
Another important factor to consider when starting a business is the “business cycle.” The business cycle is the fluctuations in economic activity that an economy will experience over a period of time. We have experience may business cycles in the United States. We refer to them as expansions and recessions. In an expansions, the economic outlook is good and growth happens, without inflation. Recessions are when the economy is shrinking and the determination factors for a recession include unemployment, low industry production, decrease sales and lower incomes. Since 1854, The United States has experienced 33
The performance of the UK economy depends very much on the level of Aggregate demand within the economy. AD=C+I+G+(X-M). The UK economy can be judged by a number of key indicators mainly sustainable economic growth, low inflation (target 2%), a surplus on the
A recession occurs when a country’s real GDP begins to shrink. Even a milder economic slowdown in which GDP continues to grow, but very slowly can create unemployment and dislocation. GDP and employment are positively correlated. As GDP rises
A recession is characterised by a period of at least two consecutive quarters of negative growth. During a recession, demand and supply of goods and services in the economy contracts. The UK economy contracted by 1.5% in the last quarter of 2008 and the Gross Domestic Product experienced its biggest fall since the second quarter of 1980 (Kowelle 2009). This is the first time since the inception of the NMW that employment has fallen. Unemployment is rapidly on the increase.
In this paper, I will explain the roles and importance of the Business cycle Dating committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research. I will also explain how the NBER defines and dates recessions. Finally I will explain the important aspects and effects of the last recession.
The business cycle expands and contracts as the GDP grows or shrinks. The business cycle includes periods of recession and expansion, and peaks and troughs. Although the business cycle can appear to be a volatile up and down movement, the long term movement of real GDP is generally not affected and reaches upward. In an article by Langelett and Schug (2005), the authors discuss how real GDP and business cycle changes are related. A business cycle begins with an expansion where real GDP is rising and reaches the high point or peak of the expansion (Langelett &Schug, 2005). During this time, individuals and businesses feel comfortable with the current state of the economy and begin spending more. A good economy can last many years although, inevitably, the economy will begin to slow. During times of recession, individuals and business feel uneasy about the future and reduce their spending causing the GDP to decline. The GDP is an important measure for voters to comprehend when deciding between candidates and their economic
Recession is a term that looms over any society at some point or another but what does recession mean for the economy, in short it is an economic decline. This essay will examine the meaning of recession and will discuss the fiscal and monetary policies that are used to pull economies out of recessions. The great Recession of 2008 will shed light on how these policies were successful at restoring economic growth and reducing unemployment.
Since reduced interest rate made it unattractive to save money, currencies were less demanded thereby causing fall in the currency values. This therefore had a multiplier effect on export and import. This explains why during post crisis period, UK exports became more competitive.
Throughout the years, the United States of America has endured a very strong economy. Although there have been many obstacles of hindrance such as trade deficits, wars, hostile governments and embargo’s, the economic status of the United States still continues to prevail. Just to name a few, the economy of this country survives on simple commodities such as pork, oranges, precious metals and the productive efforts of its citizens. In this paper, I will not only introduce and discuss the logistics of both the United States and the United Kingdom; I will discuss its key economic obstacles and its economic well being.
The economy was in a relatively stable position, inflation (4%) and unemployment (1.4%) both moderately low. Productivity growth (4%) was respectable though still below competitors. Nonetheless, there was what seemed to be a persistent problem by now, a balance of payments issue, which had big impacts on the economy. Labour inherited a current account deficit of some £800m. The causes of this substantial deficit were ascribed to a loss of price competitiveness. The change in dynamics of the market had also differed. Britain’s manufacturers found it easy to export and oppose importing in the 1950s as they faced a sellers’ market. Though now, industrialised countries had become more competitive and led to new competition in foreign markets. Improvements in the balance of payments should have been the primary target. However, labour had a greater emphasis on controlling prices in order to restore competitiveness. There was a
Timing of the business cycle is not predictable, but its phases seem to be. Many economists site four phases—prosperity, liquidation, depression, and recovery. During a period of prosperity, a rise in production leads to increases in employment, wages, and profits. Obstacles then begin to obstruct further expansion. Production costs can increase, helping create a rise in prices, and
UK Construction is directly effect by changes to the economy both domestic and foreign (Drake,1994) and is directly impacted by government policy (Myers, 2013). Sloman notes that output of the industry is a reflection of the demand, in this instance buildings and this in turn influences demand for other support services and products. Kishtainy notes that the Gross domestic product (GDP) can influence the demand for a service and determine the levels of employment within and industry.