Inflation and unemployment are two of the most important economic performance indicators, and both are watched closely by analysts and businesses. Economists often cite he misery index, which includes the unemployment and inflation rate, as measuring the health of the economy. The Bartavian Bureau of Labor Statistics regularly releases a jobs report that economists and Bartavian policy makers follow closely and use to create policy.
Unemployment and inflation both have long-run determinants, although natural unemployment is dependent on numerous features of the labor market, like minimum-wage laws, unions’ market power, efficiency wages, and the effectiveness of the job search. Growth in money supply is the primary determinant of the inflation rate, and it is controlled by Bartavia’s central bank. Therefore, inflation and unemployment do not affect one another in the long-run.
However, inflation and unemployment affect one another in the short-run. There is a short-run trade-off between inflation and unemployment, as exemplified by the Phillips curve. The Phillips curve is a downward sloping line that shows the trade-off, as inflation gets lower as unemployment grows, and vice versa. Monetary and fiscal policymakers often expand aggregate-demand, forcing the economy to move up along the short-run aggregate-supply curve, but this causes a rapidly rising price level. If the monetary and fiscal policymakers did the opposite and contracted aggregate-demand, the economy moves
In any economy, no matter whether it is controlled by the government or by free markets, people need to work in order to support it. The government does not generate tax revenue by magic. There have to be people in that economy earning an income to ensure that the government continues to collect taxes. In a free market economy, the same applies because there are some services which only an organized government can supply (such as protection from extra-national threats), but there also those which the people get for themselves because of the working of the markets. In any scenario, unemployment is, at the very least, a drag on the economy, and it can be much worse. This paper examines how the unemployment rate in the United States is underreported, and how that fact effects the sluggishness of the present economy.
An economic indicator is defined by Investopidea.com (n.d.) as “A piece of economic data, usually of macroeconomic scale, that is used by investors to interpret current or future investment possibilities and judge the overall health of an economy”. Below are six economic indicators that affect Apple Inc. and its business decisions and strategies.
The largest cause of unemployment can be attributed to recession. The term recession refers to the backward movement of the economy for a long period. People spend only when they have to. (Nagle 2009). With people spending less there would be less money in circulation therefore, enterprises would suffer financially and people would suffer too. This is so because recession reduces the fiscal bases of enterprises, forcing these enterprises to reduce their workforce through layoffs. These enterprises lay off their workers in order to cut the costs they incur in terms of wage and salary payments.
Unemployment rate, one of the biggest macroeconomic indicators. Unemployment rate controls the rate of the economy, or GDP. If unemployment rate drops from 9.1% to under 5%, the entire economy would benefit. The job market would increase, total products produced would increase, and the overall standard of living would also increase. Employment is a key economic factor that affects all things economic.
1. What is inflation? Inflation is an increase in prices for goods and services (What is Inflation?).
Another version of this theory maintains that the optimal rate of inflation is the actual rate. For example, if an economy currently has a 6-percent inflation rate, 6 percent is the optimal rate. The inflation itself does not matter and in the long run the Phillips curve is vertical but, lowering the equilibrium rate of inflation results in lower output. It is costly to lower inflation because economic agents have inflation expectations, which are difficult to adjust. A period of higher unemployment results from getting agents to lower expectations and this implies lost output. Since there is no benefit to reducing inflation, the implication is evident - the Fed should stick with the actual rate.
This is an example of complicating the policy response. In recent years, a singular emphasis on targeting inflation has come to dominate debates on macroeconomic policy with strong calls to leave monetary and foreign exchange policies to an independent central bank. However, whatever the specific tools employed and regardless of who controls them, fighting inflation usually leads to higher unemployment and the risk of lower investment and growth in the medium term.
The Undesirable temporary connection between Price increases and Unemployment. The inflation is calculated along the perpendicular axis, and the unemployment percentage is calculated along the plane axis. This can disturb both the unemployment percentage or the price increases, it can disturb the splurging and the economy. It will partake in temporary impacts in anticipation of the economy being secure.
Economic indicators refer to economic series statistical figures used to make future prediction economic activity in the organization or country. The economic indicators are useful in each organization since they measure specific economic parameters in the market and can be used to forecast the future market trends (Baumohl, 2016). For instance, the company like Disney uses these economic indicators to curb and minimizes the difficult economic situation that may arise. There are so many different types of the economic indicators used. In this case, the Disney Company will use the following economic indicators: consumer price index; productivity and cost; employment cost index; producer price index; consumer confidence
The President of Bartavia wants to enact expansionary fiscal policy with the intention of manipulating inflation and unemployment. Although Bartavia is nearly employing all of its resources in production and extremely close to full employment level, the President is still concerned about the small percentage that is unemployed. Unemployment is the state of a person without a job or a reliable salary or income. Inflation and unemployment are characteristics that are closely monitored to indicate the economic performance of a country. As the economic advisor to the president, I would strongly advise against implementing this policy. Currently, the economy is not in a recession making the trade-offs associated with economic expansion counter intuitive. In addition, the Phillips Curve demonstrates the inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment, making the need for expansionary action unnecessary right now. Finally, Okun 's Law shows how this policy would effect Bartavia 's GDP via the sacrifice ratio. These three reasons show that the long-run consequences outweigh the short-run benefits of expansionary fiscal policy. Therefore, I implore the President to avoid implementing the expansionary policy.
The relationship between inflation and unemployment is a topic, which has been debated by economists for decades. It is this debate that has made the opinions about it evolve. In this essay, the controversial topic will be discussed by viewing different economists’ opinions on that according to time sequencing.
The unemployment rate is also affected by monetary policy. “Unemployment that is above the natural rate involves great economic and social costs.” (McConnell & Brue, 2004). GDP GAP and OKun’s Law. McConnell and Brue define this as “when the economy fails to create enough jobs for all who are able and willing to work, potential production of goods and services
There are different influences that cause inflation such as energy, food, commodities, and other goods and services. The entire economy is affected by rise of the cost of living. It also affects the cost of operating a business, borrowing money, mortgages, corporate and government bond yields, and every other aspect of the economy. There are several advantages of inflation in the economy. Some include moderate rates of inflation which allows prices to adjust. This is considered a sign of a healthy economy. With economic growth available we usually get a generous amount of inflation. Also moderate inflation rate reduces the actual value of debt. If there is a reduction, the real value of debt increase leads to a squeeze on usuable income.
Unemployment has always been something that Americans have worried about since the great depression in which one in every four people was unemployed. High unemployment has an impact on every one even those whom are still currently employed. For example if the unemployment rate is particular high then even those with jobs get worried. Unemployment is also separated in to distinct categories base on which group is the focus of the study. The categories can be by race, age or location, for example the unemployment rate of those between the age of sixty and sixty-five could be compared those between the ages of thirty and thirty-five. These categories allow economist to see which groups are the best and which groups are worst off. One group
Discuss the role of government policy in reducing unemployment and inflation. In your discussion make use of the diagrammatic representation of the macroeconomy developed in lectures in Term 2