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Iact Scm Assignment - Module 1

Satisfactory Essays

ASSIGNMENTS FOR LOGISTICS AND SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT STUDENT’S NAME: M DEVADAS BABU / E MAIL ID: devdossb@yahoo.com ASSIGNMENT – MODULE 2 Question: What kind of forecasting methods do you think a company with the following products would use. For each product take up a company of your choice and justify the use of particular forecasting method for that company.

Answer: Forecasting is based on a number of assumptions:

1. The past will repeat itself. 2. As the forecast horizon shortens, forecast accuracy increases. 3. Forecasting in the aggregate is more accurate than forecasting individual items. 4. Forecasts are seldom accurate.

It is through a combination of methods that a company arrives at an …show more content…

Moving average will not give an accurate prediction for other less established products, as it gives recent data more importance. A product like Colgate tooth paste which has established itself over the years can afford to adopt Moving Average Technique to arrive at a quick forecast, as the input data would not vary much over a considerable period. However, for more important strategic decisions the suggested method is Exponential Smoothing. | Laptop | Dell | Comparison of the performance of a similar successful product and research on why a particular brand fared poor will give valuable inputs to arrive at a demand forecast. Historical Analogy is the suggested method for this product. In case of a new product launch other qualitative methods may also provide useful inputs for a precise forecast. | Mobile | Nokia | I suggest Historical Analogy for this product. This is a common technique used to generate new product forecasts when a similar product exists. Electronics and telecommunication companies often utilize this technique. E.g. The demand for a new cell phone could be based upon the sales history of an existing model. Qualitative Methods like market research, Delphi technique etc. and causal method like life cycle analysis may be adopted in case of a new product launch. To assess the demand of an existing brand, moving average method and exponential smoothing may also be studied. |

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