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Ocean Carriers

Decent Essays

Case Study 1 – Ocean Carriers

1. The Capital Budgeting Decision

Should Ms. Linn purchase the Capesize vessel?

Assume that Ocean Carriers is a U.S. firm and is subject to 35% taxation. (Please see excel sheets)

From our analysis it appears that Ms. Linn should not buy the Capesize vessel. The Net Present Value on the Ocean Carrier is not a positive number, a clear indicator that buying the vessels is not a good idea. The tax rate of 35% makes a lot of difference in determining this NPV. In our calculations we did assume a tax rate on the final sale of the vessel. If it were possible, or known, the tax rate on the salvage it might be more feasible to buy the vessel, and end up with a positive NPV. The effect of taxes on EBIT and …show more content…

As we have discussed in class, we can do a sensitivity analysis in order to judge the magnitude of this risk. Please perform a sensitivity analysis for the risk that the analyst may be overestimating, or underestimating the daily hire rate by 2 % each year. Would your decision on this investment change? (Please see excel sheets)

We use sensitivity analysis to avoid the concern that the projected cash flow often goes unmet In practice. Sensitivity analysis is also known as what-if analysis and bop(best, optimistic, and pessimistic) analysis. In this case, we use 2%, a fixed percentage changes in daily hire rate, to perform this analysis. The result tells us that either a positive assumption, 2% increase in daily hire rate, or a pessimistic assumption the investment decision will not change. The investment project doesn’t exhibit wide dispersion.

However, a deviation of a fixed percentage change ignores the fact that some variables are easier to forecast than others, like the project in the down-turn might be easier to forecast. Moreover, sensitivity analysis treats each variable in isolation when the different variables are like to relate. For example, when daily hire rate increase by 2% owing to an unexpected inflation, the daily operation cost may also move together. Therefore, a scenario analysis may

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