This thesis explores the long run relationship between financial development and economic growth using time series modeling. For each of the four case-countries three types of Vector Autoregression (VAR) models will be developed except for the case of Serbia where only VAR related to credit institutions development will be developed since data related to stock market development indicators were unavailable to author. For the case of Croatia, Slovenia and China three separate VAR models will be applied. First, bivariate VAR model to explore the connection between credit institutions development and economic growth. Second, bivariate VAR model to explore the connection between stock markets development and economic growth. Third, …show more content…
Last, China data set is in quarterly observations from 2000 – 2013 totaling 56 observations. Data sets for credit institutions were collected from Croatian National Bank, Croatian bureau of statistics, Serbian National Bank, Slovenian National Bank and Slovenian bureau of statistics while data for stock market indicators were collected from Croatian and Slovenian national stock exchange web sites and related yearly publications. Data set for China was completely provided by research department of IECASS (ABBREVIATON) thanks to the help of Prof. Liu.
3.2. INDEPENDENT VARIABLES
Credit institutions development variables
A wide range of theoretical literature explores the relationships between banks and economic growth. In an ideal world researchers would construct cross-country variables that would describe banks profitability, corporate governance in place, resource mobilization and allocation and risk management. Unfortunately until now no standardized measures for a broad spectrum of countries have been developed. That is the main reason why most of the researchers today uses variables that describe the over-all size of the banking sector by which they proxy for the „financial depth“ (Goldsmith, 1969; Mckinnon 1973). M2 (m2) or also known as the broad money is one of the common variables used in exploring the finance-growth nexus. As defined by investopedia , M2 is the measure of money supply that includes cash and checking deposits, money
4) Briefly describe money’s function from the view of economists and write down the definition of M1 and M2.
For each measure, I attempt to build the best empirical mapping as made available by my data. First, I calculate a firm’s value by adding the book value of debt to the market value of equity. I measure profitability as net income over firm value, financial leverage as book debt over market equity, capitalization as book equity over assets, growth as market equity over book equity, and volatility as the quarterly standard deviation of daily log returns. For ease of replication, I collect these variable definitions into the appendix. Note that although the growth variable appears similar to the usual Tobin’s q measure of non-bank firms, banks by design have a large proportion of their assets held as debt in the form of deposits, so the usual approximation of neglecting liabilities does not apply. For bank-specific variables, I also compute total income as non-interest income plus net interest income. I construct the non-interest income ratio (NIIR) by dividing non-interest income by total income, the non-bank subsidiary ratio (NBSR) by dividing the count of non-bank subsidiaries (NAICS codes not equal to 5221) by total subsidiaries, and normalize loans and debt by dividing by value. All figures use the fullest available information. All tables drop all observations missing any relevant variables. I report all ratios in percentage terms. To control for outliers outside the scope of this paper, all ratios are winsorized at the 1% level, where the sample is across all available bank-quarters in the
Recent studies have investigated the impact of the 2007-2009 financial crises on banks’ capital. Berger and Bouwman (2011) emphasised the importance of capital during financial crisis. Their empirical study concludes that banks with solid capital base have some benefits during the crisis than those that are poorly capitalised. Well capitalised banks are more able to withstand the shocks due to liquidity squeeze, and therefore had higher chances of surviving the crisis period. Other benefits accrued to well capitalised banks include increase in their market share and profitability, as customers withdrew their funds from less capitalised to a well-capitalised banks. This conclusion was also reinforced by a recent empirical study conducted Olivier de Bandt et al (2014) on a sample of large French banks over a period of 1993 – 2012. Similarly, Gambacorta and Marques-Ibanez (2011) demonstrate the existence of structural changes during the period of financial crisis. They conclude that banks with weaker core capital positions, greater dependence on market funding and on non-interest sources of income restricted the loan supply more strongly during the crisis period. Using a multi-country panel of banks, Demirgüç-Kunt, Detragiache and Merrouche (2010) find among others results, that during
The papers start off with giving an explanation of the Economic theory. It goes on to make the point that the theory really has not come yet to agree on the insinuations of augmented rivalry for banking reliability, and, more precisely, bank capital ratios. The author goes on to bring in an example, which makes the suggestion that increased competition reduces banks' soundness. The document explores the chief mechanisms that are talked about in the literature. The literature makes the point of mentioning that the bank managers have an inducement to take on extreme jeopardies to profit stockholders at the expenditure of investors. The document also brings in another perspective that had a contrast from what Camino and Matutes (2002) mentioned. Both of these made the point prove that
The Capital market in any country is one of the major pillars of long-term economic growth and development. The market serves a broad range of clientele, including different levels of government, corporate bodies and individuals within and outside the country. Capital formation entails accumulated savings out of the current incomes of either organization or individual. It is investment in fixed assets which in part is financed with monies raised through the capital market (Al-Faki, 2006). The Capital market has been one of the major means through which foreign funds are injected into most economies and the tendency towards a global economy is more visible there than anywhere else. It is therefore, quite valid to state that the growth of the capital market has become one of the barometers for measuring the overall economic growth of a nation (Emenuga, 1998).
The specific issues being studied are all linked to economic growth and financial development. The authors use a certain method to help them in their research. “After considering the panel characteristics of the dataset, long-run relationships among financial development, economic growth and
Interest rate is considered as one of the main parameters to control the economic conditions of any country. Interest rate is the key variable for time value of money, which causes a greater shift in money markets and capital markets. This study is basically carried out for the capital market or stock market.
The paper overviews the banking sector reforms within the framework of the Nigerian Financial System. A theoretical approach was adopted although empirical evidence was presented in some cases. It was clear that developments in the banking sub-sector of the Nigerian financial system have contributed to some extent in promoting economic growth and development in the country. However, the operations of some of these institutions were characterized by inefficiency and ineffectiveness. It was also found that the challenges facing
The RWA ratio is not statistical significant in our model and the potential reason has been discussed. As shown in the line graph in the Appendix 3, the RWA ratio of the sample countries showed a trend of fluctuating downward during the period of 2005 to 2016, except China. The RWA ratio of China rose with fluctuations during the period of 2005 to 2012, then it declined gradually after 2013. In addition, the RWA ratio of the other nine countries declined sharply in the 2008 financial crisis, which might cause the increase of the CET1 ratio during the crisis. Even after 2008, the RWA ratio of several countries still decrease gradually, which is a manipulation by the banking industry. Moreover, the RWA ratio of Greece decreased significantly from 2008 to 2010, and it indicated that Greece suffered both financial crisis and debt crisis.
Over the past 27 years, former communist countries in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) have experienced a comprehensive financial transformation to help them reintegrate into the global economic market. The transformation with the purpose of improving economic development involved labor market, enterprises restructure, governance, policy, privatization and the most important one: financial system.
Financial Institutions or banks are very important and valuable for the sake of the economic growth of an economy (Gup, 1999). Therefore, the government of almost every country of the world likes to execute their growth through the existence of financial institutions. Apart from the financial institutions, there is yet another thing that needed to be there in an economy known as Financial Markets (Gup, 2003). This assignment is a Financial Market based assignment in which different provisions and elements of the financial markets would have been acknowledged and analyzed. There are three different parts of the assignment which further bifurcated into different answers.
The banking sector occupies a pivotal position in the global economy. it is useful to understand the variety of banks. Typically, the banks can be divided into two categories, one is the local banking and other is the foreign banking.
The main aim of this report is to identify the key roles played by bank capital in the banking business. This report briefly outlines the main functions of bank capital and takes a brief look at the benefits of bank capital to the bank and the banking industry. It is hoped that from reading this paper a general understanding of the roles of bank capital in the banking business can be gained.
The impacts of all bank sizes are taken into account. The influence of bank size on bank performance has been traditionally modeled by grouping banks based on asset sizes. Because of the short period of operation, most of the banks have separate time series analysis.
Banks are the pillars of the financial system. Specially, in Bangladesh the health of the banking system is very vital because the capital market is little developed here. As the banks are still the major sources of credit and exercise great influence on the financial system, it is extremely important that the country's banking systems should be in good health in the interest of investment activities meeting the needs of all kinds of finance and related matters.