The Rise of China – By Emerson Pyrke
Over the past couple decades, we have seen china on a fast rise and growing very quickly, in fact, China 's economic growth and active diplomacy are already transforming east Asia and in future decades we will see even greater increases in Chinese power and influence just knowing this information raises a wide range of different questions ranging from What can western country’s do if anything to maintain their positions as china rises? Or even questions such as Will China Overthrow the existing order or become a part of it? These are some of the various questions that the world Is questioning about China rising so quickly. Judging from china’s previous actions observers have stated that as china rises
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In this world drama and the rapid growth economically and population wise in china we may be looking at in future reference a new Asian world order and it really raises the questions listed before is the western world coming to an end? What can western country’s do if anything to maintain their positions as china rises?
Although these allegations are far-fetched may be open ended they are still valid and although the rise of china may be inevitable it does not have to trigger a state of where the western world automatically dismantles and where china will create new world order implementing their own international rules and their own international image shaping the world. This does not have to be the case as china rises. Although the western world and china are two very different things with their own different images of each other and thoughts of each other we cannot deny the facts. With china’s current growth being so high and so persistence and steady projections are that by 2020 at most china will overtake the US economy (GDP) and by the year 2050 the Chinese economy will have been projected to have doubled the US economy (GDP). Now many westerners may see this as a major surprise. This is because brought up as a westerner in a nation state you tend to think within your region of thought this is not the case with china and their current situation. At the moment China is a huge developing country with a population of over 1.3 billion people which has been growing
China remains a current world super power that has been around for thousands of years. It was one of the first civilizations ever created and it has evolved into an enormous country. China is a large territory, but only 10% of the land can be farmed on. This continues to be a tremendous problem, especially with the large population that mostly lives in rural areas. In the past China was seen as a fragile nation that was still stuck in the past, although after the Four Humiliations this began to change. The Four Humiliations were a group of events that forced China to modernize due to the losses it faced. After the last of the four humiliations and the fall of the dynasty era during 1911, China began to catch up to the westernized world by modernizing their government, military, and education. The Chinese
The program includes initiatives to bolster the national economy and gain global influence through exploiting natural resources, increased missile program, and development of a eugenics program to foster a greater generation (Lieberthal 3). The program is an attempt by China to become a world power by the end of the decade. While China has started developing these programs it is still necessary for them to build a large amount of infrastructure to become a global leader. People that worry about China’s comprehensive national power program fear a slow increase of China’s influence in global conflicts and economic presence. While a slow increase in China’s influence would change the global dynamic, America would remain as a global power. However if war with China and a large selloff of American debt, China would quickly rise to as a global power by reducing America’s economic stability. War with China and a selloff of United States debt would create drastic changes in American stability, and should be of greater concern than China’s comprehensive national power
The recent interactions of emerging and established states suggest that the existing standards of the current global economy are shifting. According to Stewart Patrick in his article “Irresponsible Stakeholders? The Difficulty of Integrating Rising Powers,” the United States must accommodate for emerging states within the global economy and refrain from enforcing their values of an open and liberal international economy in order to achieve effective cooperation. Similarly, Andrew Nathan and Andrew Scobell argue in their article “How China Sees America: The Sum of Beijingʻs Fears” that as China gains more influence within the global economy, the United States will have to respond appropriately to maintain its economic values. Both articles ultimately assert that
The United States held 24.6% of world income in 1980 and 19.1% in 2011. (Sachs 2012) Many also believe that China is set to become the world’s largest economy in the near future. However, the ‘danger’ for US power is not that China will become the strongest economy on the global scale. As Drenzer argues, China ‘won’t prosper economically, as it won’t embrace capitalism’. In the long run, the danger to the US is that US power will decline ‘on all fronts’, not just economically. (Drenzer, Rachman & Kangan)
The rise in China from a poor, stagnant country to a major economic power within a time span of twenty-eight years is often described by analysts as one of the greatest success stories in these present times. With China receiving an increase in the amount of trade business from many countries around the world, they may soon be a major competitor to surpass the U.S. China became the second largest economy, last year, overtaking Japan which had held that position since 1968 (Gallup). China could become the world’s largest economy in decades.
The article titled Why China Won’t Overtake the United States authored by Stephen G. Brooks and William C. Wohlforth brings up many valid points and statistical data to support the thesis of the piece however, it is mainly presented from a liberal idealist point of view. While I agree with, ‘as the saying goes’, great power comes great responsibility, I do not agree with the articles premise or false assumption that a provisional “technological gap” or lack of Nobel Prizes and scientific citations matter much in the way of predicting the future geopolitical actions or capability of any country. Especially one as customarily isolated and historically unpredictable as China.
Ho-fung Hung’s work attempts to reconcile the widespread expectation that China’s rise would lead to a fundamental change in the global status quo with the observed fact that China has become increasingly connected to and one with the global status quo. To do this, he must first examine China’s rise and prove that it upholds the global status quo, and further must look into the origins of China’s rise, going back to the 13th century, to understand why this rise seemingly changed so little about the global world order.
Throughout most of history, East Asia and more specifically China has been the cradle of civilization. Only until a few hundred years ago did China and most of the developing world today regress into the states they have been for the past several hundred years. For the past 100 years the US has been the world’s most powerful country, economically, militarily, and culturally; however China is resurging and is now in a position that is equal and perhaps greater to the US’s power.
China is rising in many ways— specifically in terms of their economy, their military, and global and cultural diplomacy. For the past 20 years, China has been utilizing a careful strategy for their global economy in various ways. First of all, they have secured enough raw materials so that they have a long-term supply. Chinese firms began to secure shares in Europe, the United States, and Canada.
And with this strong role China has been assuming, so has it been getting stronger by building military equipment competitive with those of the U.S. and drawing narrower a military gap it once possessed when compared to America’s armed forces. Furthermore, China has “displaced the United States as the world’s leading manufacturing nation” in 2010 (US Foreign Policy, pg. 414). Not a surprise since a majority of products purchased in the U.S. carry a label stating, “Made in China.” And predictions hold China as the world’s largest economy by year 2041 (US Foreign Policy, pg. 415). Thus, the fact that China has become an emergence matters. Since the dismantled of the Soviet Union, the U.S. was not challenged, when it came to power by any other competitor, however now, the U.S. dominance in international politics has to deal with a China that has the capabilities to lead the world’s economy.
Med Jones > Not at all, we see that as a realistic outlook. The forces of change existed throughout history, except now the international community is better at managing change than in the past. In fact, I'm more optimistic this time, the odds are in favor of peace more than wars. Globalization has many issues; however, one of the main benefits of globalization is that it created global companies and global markets that allowed investors and traders to share in the benefit of each other. Despite the intense competition, US and China has far more to gain from working together than fighting each other. As long as the communications, investments, and trade routes remain open, I'm not worried. As long as the cooperation activities are more than the competition, I'm not worried. I would worry when I see developments in the other direction.
“Our future history will be more determined by our relationship with China than by our relationship with Europe.” This was a prediction from President Theodore Roosevelt more than a hundred years ago. This prediction has become a reality because China has the world’s largest population, the second largest economy, and a rising military power.
David Shambaugh’s book, China Goes Global: The Partial Power, joins existing scholarship that comments on the implications of China’s rise as a global power. Though many scholars would argue that China has been on the rise for several decades and is due to overtake the United States in several more, Shambaugh argues that this may not be the case. To prove this argument, Shambaugh has researched six dimensions of China’s recent emergence in a comprehensive study. These dimensions include China’s perceptual, diplomatic, governmental, economic, cultural, and military power. Based on his summation of these factors, Shambaugh concludes that China is a global actor without much global power.
Realism assumes that under a balance of power, the overriding aim of all states is to maximize power and become the only hegemony in the system. States only help themselves in the anarchic international system. Therefore, China’s rise is regarded as a disconcerting threat to the U.S.’s primacy of power in the present international stage. The power shift in East Asia is creating security dilemmas; the U.S. thus demands more security to its Asian allies including Philippines, Japan and South Korea. The rapidly-rising Chinese power would inevitably challenge the current international balance of power and appear aggressively in the eyes of weaker power such as the Philippines. Therefore it seeks help to its ally, the U.S., to counterbalance the power of China. China intends to gain more resources and to transform current international order to its favor according to its national interests. The 2010 Chinese White Paper on National Defence states that: “Contradictions continue to surface between developed and developing countries and between traditional
Snyder claims that realism failed to predict the Cold War. Given this, Mearsheimer states “China cannot rise peacefully.” Since realists describe the world as a self-help system, according to Posen, every country “must look to its own interests relative to those of others” and because “security is the preeminent issue in an anarchic world, the distribution of capabilities to attack and defend should matter.” Thus, because China’s strive for regional hegemony inevitably threatens the power dynamic of the global system, the U.S. will, according to Mearsheimer, take an offensive realist approach that will eventually lead to war. In addition, as seen in post-Cold War, economic stability greatly determines the distribution of power. Friedberg notes, that the projected “speed and magnitude of China’s growth in recent decades appears to be unprecedented” and as early as 2015, “China’s economy could overtake that of the United States.” Although the U.S. faces an unprecedented challenge to economic power, according to Ikenberry, China has signaled cooperation by “redoubling its participation in existing institutions, such as the ASEAN Regional Forum and the East Asia Summit or working with the other great powers in the region to build new ones.” Nevertheless, following the actions of the U.S. post WWII, China strategically makes “itself more predictable and approachable” to reduce “the incentives for other