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Tornado Forecasts

Decent Essays

Currently, the development of spotter networks and conversion radar are use for identification of tornadoes (Coleman et al. 2011). In developed countries, the use of weather radars have become the primary method for the identification of tornadoes. The Doppler weather radar is used in the United States, this system takes measurements of velocity and the radial direction of the storm (Coleman et al. 2011). New technology development has lead to forecasts of tornadoes before they have made contact with the ground.
Currently the average tornado warning lead time is 13 minutes (Brotzge & Erickson, 2009). Tornado forecasts are still unreliable, most warnings are not broadcasted when the tornado is forming or has formed (Brotzge & Erickson, 2009). …show more content…

In 2008, 3 out of every 4 tornado warnings that were issued were false alarms (Brotzge et al. 2011). False alarm ratios are highest during non-peak storm periods and lowest during storm times and days. In a 24-hour period they are highest overnight and morning hours and lowest in the late afternoon (Brotzge et al. 2011). Seasonally they are highest December-February and late summer, August and lowest all the other months (Brotzge et al. 2011). Tornado information has increased since the amount of research has been recorded and analyzed. However, there is more improvements that are needed to fully predict tornadoes that could have the potential to destroy large areas.
Conclusion:
Although meteorologist hardly acknowledge that their forecasts are not completely accurate, it is clear that without them the amount of harm would be great. The information of a possible tornado formation helps the public become prepared to the possibility of a tornado. Tornadoes warning systems have come a long way from the days where they were inaccurate and unreliable. Lead times have increased and are becoming more reliable. However, more sensitive technology is needed until forecasts can become more

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