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Using The Fossil Record And Predict Range Shifts Due For Near Future Climate Change

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Grant Proposal Mario Williams November 3, 2014
GEO 275
Species on the move: using the fossil record to predict range shifts due to near-future climate change in contemporary tropical marine mollusca
Introduction
Anthropogenic activity has caused significant transformations to our natural ecosystems due to a diverse suite of interdependent factors. Human action includes the large-scale commercialization and industrialization of activities such as mining, fishing, agriculture, hunting and forestry. These human-driven changes have left a ‘fingerprint’ on the natural landscape, which has undoubtedly altered the structure and function of the Earth’s biogeochemical cycles (Vitousek et. al, 1997). The relatively rapid rise in global temperatures over the last few hundred years as a result of anthropogenic activities has had a grave effect on taxonomic abundance, diversity and distributions and its impacts have been studied across thousands of species (Parmesan and Yohe, 2003). One ecological response to current climate change is range shifts, where species distributions change due to taxa-specific physiological limitations and the interactions between other biotic and abiotic factors. As global warming increases, these pockets of inhabitable climatic conditions are predicted to move polewards or towards higher latitudes. Considering other factors such as motility, dispersal, resource availability and competitive

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