1,) In a community of 100,000 adults, subscribers to the newspaper, the Tallahassee Democrat, tend to renew their annual subscription with probability 90% and persons presently not subscribing will subscribe for the next year with probability 0.2%. If the present number of subscribers is 1500, predict the annual subscription levels for each of the next three years?
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Process analysis and design
1,) In a community of 100,000 adults, subscribers to the newspaper, the Tallahassee Democrat, tend to renew their annual subscription with probability 90% and persons presently not subscribing will subscribe for the next year with probability 0.2%. If the present number of subscribers is 1500, predict the annual subscription levels for each of the next three years?
Process analysis is a method that permits an unmistakable understanding of an organization's business processes to be acquired. There are a few critical stages to process analysis. Process analysis is a deliberate audit of all means and systems followed to play out a given movement. It is a depiction of the manner in which a specific assignment is done inside an association.
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- Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. Ethical decisions that affect a buyers ethical perspective usually involve the organizational environment, cultural environment, personal environment, and industry environment. Analyze this scenario using these four variables.Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What should Sharon do in this situation?Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What does the Institute of Supply Management code of ethics say about financial conflicts of interest?
- Brown's, a local bakery, is worried about increased costs particularly energy. Last year's records can provide a fairly good estimate of the parameters for this year. Wende Brown, the owner, does not believe things have changed much, but she did invest an additional $2,500 for modifications to the bakery's ovens to make them more energy efficient. The modifications were supposed to make the ovens at least 15% more efficient. Brown has asked you to check the energy savings of the new ovens and also to look over other measures of the bakery's productivity to see if the modifications were beneficial. You have the following data to work with: Last Year Now Production (dozen) 1,600 1,600 Labor (hours) 350 325 Capital Investment ($) 16,000 18,500 Energy (BTU) 3,000 2,800 Energy productivity increase = %(enter your response as a…Brown's, a local bakery, is worried about increased costs particularly energy. Last year's records can provide a fairly good estimate of the parameters for this year. Wende Brown, the owner, does not believe things have changed much, but she did invest an additional $2,500 for modifications to the bakery's ovens to make them more energy efficient. The modifications were supposed to make the ovens at least 15% more efficient. Brown has asked you to check the energy savings of the new ovens and also to look over other measures of the bakery's productivity to see if the modifications were beneficial. You have the following data to work with: Last Year Now Production (dozen) 1,600 1,600 Labor (hours) 340 320 Capital Investment ($) 15,000 17,500 Energy (BTU) 3,000 2,800 Energy productivity increase =____ (enter your response as a percentage rounded to two decimal places and include a minus sign if necessary). Capital productivity increase = ____(enter your…Brown’s, a local bakery, is worried about increased costs—particularly energy. Last year’s records can provide a fairly good estimate of the parameters for this year. Wende Brown, the owner, does not believe things have changed much, but she did invest an additional $3,000 for modifications to the bakery’s ovens to make them more energy efficient. The modifications were supposed to make the ovens at least 15% more efficient. Brown has asked you to check the energy savings of the new ovens and also to look over other measures of the bakery’s productivity to see if the modifications were beneficial. You have the following data to work with:
- S9. A Co-operative bank QLB grants loansunder the following conditions. -(a) If customer has an account witbank and has no loan outstandingwill be granted.(b) If customer has an account with thebank but some amount is outstandingfrom previous loan, then loan will begranted if special arrangementapproval is obtained.(c) Reject loan applications in all other cases. Draw Decision Tree and Table for the bank . This under System Analysis and Design.Sigma Airway: In 2021, Sigma Airway was considering the possibility of adding a new economy class to the two existing classes - first class and tourist -in the hope that the total contribution to its profit from fares might be increased. Ms. Somsri, the marketing manager for Sigma had to decide within the next week whether or not to introduce such as a change. If introduced, the new class would have to be retained for at least 100 days. Somsri felt that the essential question to be answered in her analysis was whether such a deal would attract sufficient new customers to offset the loss of revenue from existing tourist customers switching to the lower-contribution economy class. Somsri, having had some experience with these problems in the past, made the following assessments: On an average day she felt that there was a 1 in 3 chance that 200 new customers would be attracted to the new class, a 1 in 3 chance at the figure would be around 100 new customers, and a 1 in 3 chance that it…Brown's, a local bakery, is worried about increased costs particularly energy. Last year's records can provide a fairly good estimate of the parameters for this year. Wende Brown, the owner, does not believe things have changed much, but she did invest an additional $2,500 for modifications to the bakery's ovens to make them more energy efficient. The modifications were supposed to make the ovens at least 20% more efficient. Brown has asked you to check the energy savings of the new ovens and also to look over other measures of the bakery's productivity to see if the modifications were beneficial. You have the following data to work with: Last Year Now Production (dozen) 1,600 1,600 Labor (hours) 350 320 Capital Investment ($) 15,000 17,500 Energy (BTU) 3,200 2,800 Energy productivity increase = (enter your response as a…
- Consider Bruno who manages an underwriting team in an insurance firm. Recently, the management of Bruno’s firm informed him of their decision to create a new risk assessment team, consisting of data scientists with machine learning expertise, and reduce the size of Bruno’s underwriting team. Bruno’s underwriting team will now work with the new risk assessment team in order to determine whether to provide insurance to applicants Use the model of a firm’s technology choice and graphically illustrate the management’s restructuring decision in a diagram with isocost curves. Your diagram should have the amount of human intelligence on the horizontal axis and the amount of artificial intelligence on the vertical axis. Fully label your diagram. Note that there are no actual numbers given in this question: you may make them up or simply use appropriate notations. Briefly explain the key information of your diagram.Mars Incorporated is interested in going to market with a new fuel savings device that attaches to electrically powered industrial vehicles. The device, code named "Python," promises to save up to 15% of the electrical power required to operate the average electric forklift. Mars expects that modest demand expected during the introductory year will be followed by a steady increase in demand in subsequent years. The extent of this increase in demand will be based on customer's expectations regarding the future cost of electricity, which is shown in Table 1. Mars expects to sell the device for $300 each, and does not expect to be able to raise its price over the foreseeable future. Mars is faced with two alternatives: ≻Alternative 1: Make the device themselves, which requires an initial outlay of $450,000 in plant and equipment and a variable cost of $175 per unit. ≻Alternative 2: Outsource the production, which requires no initial investment, but incurs a per unit cost…Explain mean squared error?