1) Let Yi be the number of successes in n= 10 independent trials where each trial results in a success or failure, and II, the probability of success, remains constant over all trials. Suppose the 4 possible values of II are 20, 40, 60, and 80. We don't wish to favor any value over the others so we make them equally likely. We observe Yi = 7. Find the posterior distribution by filling in the simplified table. %3D п Prior likelihood Prior x Posterior likelihood Marginal P(Y1 = 7)

College Algebra
10th Edition
ISBN:9781337282291
Author:Ron Larson
Publisher:Ron Larson
Chapter8: Sequences, Series,and Probability
Section8.7: Probability
Problem 11ECP: A manufacturer has determined that a machine averages one faulty unit for every 500 it produces....
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1) Let Yi be the number of successes in n= 10 independent trials where each trial results in a
success or failure, and II, the probability of success, remains constant over all trials.
Suppose the 4 possible values of II are 20, 40, .60, and 80. We don't wish to favor any
value over the others so we make them equally likely. We observe Yi = 7. Find the
posterior distribution by filling in the simplified table.
%3D
п
Prior
likelihood
Prior x
Posterior
likelihood
Marginal P(Y1
= 7)
Transcribed Image Text:1) Let Yi be the number of successes in n= 10 independent trials where each trial results in a success or failure, and II, the probability of success, remains constant over all trials. Suppose the 4 possible values of II are 20, 40, .60, and 80. We don't wish to favor any value over the others so we make them equally likely. We observe Yi = 7. Find the posterior distribution by filling in the simplified table. %3D п Prior likelihood Prior x Posterior likelihood Marginal P(Y1 = 7)
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