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- Suppose the cotton (a storable commodity) futures prices are currently Expiry Month Price c/lb December 2021 83 December 2022 96 (a) Is the cotton market in contango or in backwardation? (b) What is the slope of the futures curve for cotton? Draw a future curve graph to support your answer. (c) Are there positive returns to storage between Dec 21 and Dec 22? Draw a graph of supply and demand for storage to support your answer (where t=Dec 21 and t+1=Dec 22).1. What Will Happen to QD, QS, D, S, P, and Q if Toyota, GM, and Ford increase production of windshields due to higher demand expectations?Explain why you would be more or less willing to buygold under the following circumstances:a. Gold again becomes acceptable as a medium ofexchange.b. Prices in the gold market become more volatile.c. You expect inflation to rise, and gold prices tend tomove with the aggregate price level.d. You expect interest rates to rise.
- 4. Carefully understand and analyze the following scenario. Mask mandates are lifted recently and consumers are optimistic in the current environment. What would be the short and long run impact of improved consumers’ confidence in coming months assuming the economic is in no gap situation currently?Expectations often play cruel jokes on the market participants. Assume that everyone (buyers and sellers) expect future gold prices to increase. Use the four-step process of finding equilibrium, please be sure to describe what (if anything) happens to the current demand and/or supply of gold, which way(s) do the corresponding curve(s) shift, and what happens as a result to the equilibrium price and quantity of gold exchanged.Suppose the cotton (a storable commodity) futures prices are currently Expiry Month Price c/lb December 2021 83 December 2022 96 (a) Suppose an unexpected typhoon destroys cotton crops in India. This causes a downward revision in the expected global cotton production in 2022. Assuming all else equal, will demand for storage of cotton in 2021 (St) increase, decrease or stay the same? Draw a graph of the demand for storage to support your answer. (b) Using the same scenario from (a), do you expect the cotton market to still in contango, inverted, or could it be either contango or inverted? Draw a graph of supply and demand for storage to support your answer.
- 14. What is an important reason for the rise in prices (inflation) in Canada since 1913?(A) The Government of Canada keeps increasing prices according to a pre-determinedformula.(B) The prices of raw materials have increased due to global warming and its associatedenvironmental effects.(C) Canada no longer backs its currency with gold.(D) None of the above.Name and explain 2 differences between using oil futures to fix the price of future purchases. Graph if helpfulA. Most geologists, refer to petroleum as a finite resource. They believe that someday, an exhausted natural supply of oil will cause the oil industry to disappear. Some economists, although not all, agree. Verbally explain the price path forecast with the expectation of eventual oil reserve exhaustion. Draw the appropriate diagram, and label it fully, including all price points. Fully explain how the price points cause the model’s forecasted price path to hold in the long run. B. Contrary to part A, other economists believe that the world’s supply of oil never will run out. Separately answering as parts ((i) and (ii), explain two different reasons why most economists believe that a lack of petroleum never will cause the global oil industry to come to an end. ANSWER A and B both PLEASE.
- 3. Assuming equilibrium for gold is one hundred times the price of silver, $Au = 100$Ag, which of the following describes an action by an arbitrageur (arb)? a. when Au and Ag prices increase 10%, arb buys gold b. when Au and Ag prices decrease 10%, arb buys gold c. when $Au > 100$Ag, arb buys gold d. when $Au > $100Ag, arb sells goldExplain if Alessandria would be more or less willing to buy a new car (for example, a Fiat Panda) under the following circumstances: a. She just inherited €200,000 from her aunt. b. Prices in the stock market become more volatile. c. She expects car prices to fall. d. She expects the aerospace company Leonardo’s stock to triple in value next yearExplain why you would be more or less willing to buy ahouse under the following circumstances:a. You just inherited $100,000.b. Real estate commissions fall from 6% of the salesprice to 5% of the sales price.c. You expect Microsoft stock to double in value next year.d. Prices in the stock market become more volatile.e. You expect housing prices to fall.
