16.00 15.80 16.06

Glencoe Algebra 1, Student Edition, 9780079039897, 0079039898, 2018
18th Edition
ISBN:9780079039897
Author:Carter
Publisher:Carter
Chapter10: Statistics
Section10.5: Comparing Sets Of Data
Problem 14PPS
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Question
100%
Week Value
Forecast
1
16
2
15
16.00
17
15.80
4
13
16.06
16
15.63
13
15.55
MSE: 3.70
The forecast for week 7: 15.04
d) Compare the three-week moving average forecast with the exponential smoothing forecast using a = 0.2. Which appears to provide the better forecast based on MSE?
Exponential Smoothing
Explain.
The input in the box below will not be graded, but may be reviewed and considered by your instructor.
Exponential smoothing is better due to smaller MSE.
e) Use trial and error to find a value of the exponential smoothing coefficient a that results in a smaller MSE than what you calculated for a = 0.20. Use a two-decimal digit precision.
alpha: 0.2
Transcribed Image Text:Week Value Forecast 1 16 2 15 16.00 17 15.80 4 13 16.06 16 15.63 13 15.55 MSE: 3.70 The forecast for week 7: 15.04 d) Compare the three-week moving average forecast with the exponential smoothing forecast using a = 0.2. Which appears to provide the better forecast based on MSE? Exponential Smoothing Explain. The input in the box below will not be graded, but may be reviewed and considered by your instructor. Exponential smoothing is better due to smaller MSE. e) Use trial and error to find a value of the exponential smoothing coefficient a that results in a smaller MSE than what you calculated for a = 0.20. Use a two-decimal digit precision. alpha: 0.2
Consider the following time series data.
Week
1
3
4
Value
16
15
17
13
16
13
6.
5.
2.
Transcribed Image Text:Consider the following time series data. Week 1 3 4 Value 16 15 17 13 16 13 6. 5. 2.
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