20. The Video Game Supply Company (VGS) is deciding whether to set next year'sproduction at 2000, 2500, or 3000 games. Demand could be low, medium, orhigh. Using historical data, VGS estimates the probabilities as: 0.4 for lowdemand, 0.3 for medium demand, and 0.3 for high demand. The following profitpayoff table (in $100s) has been developed.DemandProduction TargetLowMediumHigh2000 games2500 games3000 games1000120014008001500130060017001400(a) [1] What is the maximax decision alternative?(b) [1] What is the maximin decision alternative?(c) [2] Determine the expected value of each alternative and indicate whatshould be the production target for next year based on expected value.(d) [1] Determine the expected value with perfect information about the states ofnature.(e) [1] Determine the expected value of perfect information.

Decision making is the process of choosing best decision from all available or possible outcome.…

Answered: 20. The Video Game Supply Company (VGS)…

Practical Management Science

6th Edition

ISBN:9781337406659

Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 33P: Assume the demand for a companys drug Wozac during the current year is 50,000, and assume demand...

See similar textbooks

Similar questions

Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. Is Ben Gibson acting legally? Is he acting ethically? Why or why not?
Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. As the Marketing Manager for Southeastern Corrugated, what would you do upon receiving the request for quotation from Coastal Products?
Assume the demand for a companys drug Wozac during the current year is 50,000, and assume demand will grow at 5% a year. If the company builds a plant that can produce x units of Wozac per year, it will cost 16x. Each unit of Wozac is sold for 3. Each unit of Wozac produced incurs a variable production cost of 0.20. It costs 0.40 per year to operate a unit of capacity. Determine how large a Wozac plant the company should build to maximize its expected profit over the next 10 years.
The Tinkan Company produces one-pound cans for the Canadian salmon industry. Each year the salmon spawn during a 24-hour period and must be canned immediately. Tinkan has the following agreement with the salmon industry. The company can deliver as many cans as it chooses. Then the salmon are caught. For each can by which Tinkan falls short of the salmon industrys needs, the company pays the industry a 2 penalty. Cans cost Tinkan 1 to produce and are sold by Tinkan for 2 per can. If any cans are left over, they are returned to Tinkan and the company reimburses the industry 2 for each extra can. These extra cans are put in storage for next year. Each year a can is held in storage, a carrying cost equal to 20% of the cans production cost is incurred. It is well known that the number of salmon harvested during a year is strongly related to the number of salmon harvested the previous year. In fact, using past data, Tinkan estimates that the harvest size in year t, Ht (measured in the number of cans required), is related to the harvest size in the previous year, Ht1, by the equation Ht = Ht1et where et is normally distributed with mean 1.02 and standard deviation 0.10. Tinkan plans to use the following production strategy. For some value of x, it produces enough cans at the beginning of year t to bring its inventory up to x+Ht, where Ht is the predicted harvest size in year t. Then it delivers these cans to the salmon industry. For example, if it uses x = 100,000, the predicted harvest size is 500,000 cans, and 80,000 cans are already in inventory, then Tinkan produces and delivers 520,000 cans. Given that the harvest size for the previous year was 550,000 cans, use simulation to help Tinkan develop a production strategy that maximizes its expected profit over the next 20 years. Assume that the company begins year 1 with an initial inventory of 300,000 cans.
Daniel Grady is thefinancial advisor for a number of professional athletes.An analysis of the long-term goals for many of theseathletes has resulted in a recommendation to purchasestocks with some of the income that they have set aside for investments. Five stocks have been identified as hav-ing very favorable expectations for future performance. Although the expected return is important in theseinvestments, the risk, as measured by the beta of the stock, is also important. (A high value of beta indicatesthat the stock has a relatively high risk.) The expectedreturn and the beta for five stocks are as follows: Stock 1 2 3 4 5 Expected Return (%) 11.0 9.0 6.5 15.0 13.0 Beta 1.20 0.85 0.55 1.40 1.25 Daniel would like to minimize the beta of the stockportfolio (calculated using a weighted average ofthe amounts put into the different stocks) whilemaintaining an expected return of at least 11%.Since future conditions may change, Daniel hasdecided that no more than 35% of the…
A manager would like to know the total cost of a chase strategy that matches the forecast belowusing a steady regular production rate of 200 units a month, a maximum of 20 units per month ofovertime, and subcontracting as needed to make up any shortages. The unit costs are:Regular production = $35Overtime = $70Subcontracting = $80Month 1 2 3 4 5 6Forecast 230 200 240 240 250 240
a) Calculate the three point moving averages (quarters) and seasonal variation for the above data b) A detective figures he has a one in nine chance of recovering stolen property. His out-of-pocket expenses for the investigation are $9,000. He is only paid his fee if he recovers the stolen property, what should he charge clients in order to breakeven? c) At races, your horse, has a probability of 1/20 of coming 1st, 1/10 of coming 2nd and a probability of 1⁄4 in coming 3rd. First place pays $4,500 to the winner, second place $3,500 and third place $1,500.Hence, is it worth entering the race if it costs $799? d) Your company plans to invest in a particular project. There is a 35% chance you will lose $30,000, a 40% chance you will break even, and a 25% chance you will make $65,000. Based solely on this information, what should youdo? e) A manufacturer is considering the production of a new and better mousetrap. She estimates the probability that the new mousetrap is successful is 3⁄4.…
eferring to the pay-off table, determine which alternative would be chosen under each of these strategies: Possible future demand in OMR Alternative Low Medium High A 12 15 15 B 10 13 16 C 6 8 19 For the data in above table, assume probabilities of: (low demand) = 0.15, (medium demand) = 0.55, and (high demand) = 0.3. Using a Minimax regret approach the value of the lowest regret is. (Write the number only)
6. Laura is trying to decide whether to sell her knitted hats on Etsy, at a holiday bazaar, or in a local boutique. Demand could be 0 hats/month, 10 hats/month, or 20 hats/month. Given the payoff matrix below, what is her decision under equally likely? Demand = 0 Demand = 10 Demand = 20 Etsy -$70 $80 $230 Bazaar -$60 $90 $240 Boutique -$80 $70 $220 Select one: a. Etsy and boutique. b. Etsy only. c. Etsy and bazaar. d. Bazaar and boutique. e. All 3 are equally good. f. Bazaar only. g. None of them are good options. h. Boutique only.
Garfield Industries is expanding its operations throughout the Southeast United States. Garfield anticipates that the expansion will increase sales by $1,000,000 and increase operating costs (excluding depreciation and amortization) by $700,000. Depreciation and amortization expenses will rise by $50,000, interest expense will increase by $150,000, and the company’s tax rate will remain at 40 percent. If the company’s forecast is correct, how much will net income increase or decrease, as a result of the expansion?
please help me with Question 3 thanks! Demand forecasts for 2021 are as follows: Month Demand Jan 140,000 Feb 78,900 Mar 85,800 Apr 89,100 May 123,600 Jun 136,350 Jul 120,450 Aug 106,950 Sep 121,950 Oct 135,750 Nov 87,000 Dec 93,300 Each worker can produce 900 products per month and is paid $1500 per month. Assume that at the end of last year, the company has 100 employees working on the production line. Hiring and layoff (firing) decisions are made at the beginning of each month, and associated costs are charged at that time. It costs the company $400 to hire and $800 to lay off a worker. The company incurs holding cost for the amount of ending inventory in each month, and incurs backorder cost at the end of each month for any unfilled orders. The company incurs $2 per month for holding one unit in inventory and $4 per unit backorder. 1 Prepare a level aggregate plan. Under this level aggregate plan, how…
Cotton Island Fashions, a clothing producer, has generated a forecast for the next eightweeks. Demand is expected to be fairly steady, except for periods 3 and 4, which havehigher demands.Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 TotalForecast 1200 1200 1400 3000 1200 1200 1200 1200 11600The company typically hires seasonal workers to handle the extra workload in periods 3and 4. The cost for hiring and training a seasonal worker is $50 per worker, and thecompany plans to hire two additional workers and train them in period 3, for work in period4, and then lay them off (no cost for layoff). Develop an aggregate plan that uses steadyoutput from regular workers with added output from the two seasonal workers in period 4.The output rate for the seasonal workers is slightly less than that of regular workers, sotheir cost per unit is higher. The cost per unit for regular workers is $4 per unit, while costper unit for the seasonal workers is $5 per unit. Backlog cost is $1 per unit per period.

SEE MORE QUESTIONS

Recommended textbooks for you

Practical Management Science

Operations Management

ISBN:

9781337406659

Author:

WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:

Cengage,

Marketing

ISBN:

9780357033791

Author:

Pride, William M

Publisher:

South Western Educational Publishing

Purchasing and Supply Chain Management

Operations Management

ISBN:

9781285869681

Author:

Robert M. Monczka, Robert B. Handfield, Larry C. Giunipero, James L. Patterson

Publisher:

Cengage Learning

Practical Management Science

Operations Management

ISBN:

9781337406659

Author:

WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:

Cengage,

Marketing

ISBN:

9780357033791

Author:

Pride, William M

Publisher:

South Western Educational Publishing

Purchasing and Supply Chain Management

Operations Management

ISBN:

9781285869681

Author:

Robert M. Monczka, Robert B. Handfield, Larry C. Giunipero, James L. Patterson

Publisher:

Cengage Learning

SEE MORE TEXTBOOKS