A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN: 9780134753119
Author: Sheldon Ross
Publisher: PEARSON
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## Understanding Redundancy and Probabilities

### Problem Statement

**5)** The principle of redundancy is used when system reliability is improved through redundant or backup components. Assume that your alarm clock has a 0.9 probability of working on any given morning.

**a)** What is the probability that your alarm clock will *not* work on the morning of an important final exam?

### Explanation

In this problem, we are examining the reliability of a system (in this case, an alarm clock) and the concept of redundancy. The problem gives a probability of 0.9 for the alarm clock working, from which we need to determine the probability of it not working on a specific morning, such as the morning of a final exam.

### Solution Approach

To find the probability that the alarm clock will not work, we can use the concept of complementary probability:

- Probability of the alarm clock working: \( P(\text{Working}) = 0.9 \)
- Probability of the alarm clock not working: \( P(\text{Not Working}) = 1 - P(\text{Working}) \)

Therefore:

\[ P(\text{Not Working}) = 1 - 0.9 = 0.1 \]

So, there is a 0.1 probability that your alarm clock will not function on the morning of an important final exam.
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Transcribed Image Text:## Understanding Redundancy and Probabilities ### Problem Statement **5)** The principle of redundancy is used when system reliability is improved through redundant or backup components. Assume that your alarm clock has a 0.9 probability of working on any given morning. **a)** What is the probability that your alarm clock will *not* work on the morning of an important final exam? ### Explanation In this problem, we are examining the reliability of a system (in this case, an alarm clock) and the concept of redundancy. The problem gives a probability of 0.9 for the alarm clock working, from which we need to determine the probability of it not working on a specific morning, such as the morning of a final exam. ### Solution Approach To find the probability that the alarm clock will not work, we can use the concept of complementary probability: - Probability of the alarm clock working: \( P(\text{Working}) = 0.9 \) - Probability of the alarm clock not working: \( P(\text{Not Working}) = 1 - P(\text{Working}) \) Therefore: \[ P(\text{Not Working}) = 1 - 0.9 = 0.1 \] So, there is a 0.1 probability that your alarm clock will not function on the morning of an important final exam.
b) If you have two such alarm clocks, what is the probability that they both fail on the morning of the important exam?

c) With one alarm clock, you have a 0.9 probability of being awakened. What is the probability of being awakened if you use two alarm clocks?

d) Does a second alarm clock result in greatly improved reliability?
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Transcribed Image Text:b) If you have two such alarm clocks, what is the probability that they both fail on the morning of the important exam? c) With one alarm clock, you have a 0.9 probability of being awakened. What is the probability of being awakened if you use two alarm clocks? d) Does a second alarm clock result in greatly improved reliability?
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