A company uses three different assembly lines—A1, A2,and A3—to manufacture a particular component. Of thosemanufactured by line A1, 5% need rework to remedy adefect, whereas 8% of A2’s components need rework and10% of A3’s need rework. Suppose that 50% of all componentsare produced by line A1, 30% are produced byline A2, and 20% come from line A3. If a randomlyselected component needs rework, what is the probabilitythat it came from line A1? From line A2? From line A3?

Linear Algebra: A Modern Introduction
4th Edition
ISBN:9781285463247
Author:David Poole
Publisher:David Poole
Chapter2: Systems Of Linear Equations
Section2.4: Applications
Problem 28EQ
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A company uses three different assembly lines—A1, A2,
and A3—to manufacture a particular component. Of those
manufactured by line A1, 5% need rework to remedy a
defect, whereas 8% of A2’s components need rework and
10% of A3’s need rework. Suppose that 50% of all components
are produced by line A1, 30% are produced by
line A2, and 20% come from line A3. If a randomly
selected component needs rework, what is the probability
that it came from line A1? From line A2? From line A3?

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