A diagnostic test for a certain disease has 95% sensitivity and 95% specificity. Only 1% of the population has the disease in question. If the diagnostic test reports that a person chosen at random from the population tests positive, what is the conditional probability that the person does, in fact, have the disease? Are you surprised by the size of the answer? Do you consider this diagnostic test reliable?
A diagnostic test for a certain disease has 95% sensitivity and 95% specificity. Only 1% of the population has the disease in question. If the diagnostic test reports that a person chosen at random from the population tests positive, what is the conditional probability that the person does, in fact, have the disease? Are you surprised by the size of the answer? Do you consider this diagnostic test reliable?
College Algebra
7th Edition
ISBN:9781305115545
Author:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem Watson
Publisher:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem Watson
Chapter9: Counting And Probability
Section9.3: Binomial Probability
Problem 33E: Sick leave probability that a given worker at Dyno Nutrition Will call in sick on a Monday is 004....
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A diagnostic test for a certain disease has 95% sensitivity and 95% specificity. Only 1% of the
population has the disease in question. If the diagnostic test reports that a person chosen at random
from the population tests positive, what is the conditional probability that the person does, in fact,
have the disease? Are you surprised by the size of the answer? Do you consider this diagnostic test
reliable?
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