A plant manager considers the operational cost per hour of five machine alternatives. The cost per hour is sensitive to three potential weather conditions: cold, mild, and warm. The following table represents the operations cost per hour for each alternative- state of nature combination: States of Nature Weather related cost per hour Alternatives Cold cost/day Mild cost/day Warm cost/day 28 38 36 42 33 39 Machine 1 Machine 2 Machine 3 32 39 38 Machine 4 29 33 34 37 40 38 Machine 5 Assume that for a randomly selected day, there is a 35% probability of cold weather, 45% probability of mild weather, and 20% probability of warm weather. What is the EVPI?

EBK HEALTH ECONOMICS AND POLICY
7th Edition
ISBN:9781337668279
Author:Henderson
Publisher:Henderson
Chapter4: Economic Evaluation In Health Care
Section: Chapter Questions
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A plant manager considers the operational cost per hour of five machine alternatives.
The cost per hour is sensitive to three potential weather conditions: cold, mild, and
warm. The following table represents the operations cost per hour for each alternative-
state of nature combination:
States of Nature
Weather related cost per hour
Alternatives Cold cost/day Mild cost/day Warm cost/day
Machine 1
28 38 36
Machine 2
42 33 39
Machine 3
32 39 38
Machine 4
29 33 34
Machine 5
37 40 38
Assume that for a randomly selected day, there is a 35% probability of cold weather,
45% probability of mild weather, and 20% probability of warm weather. What is the
EVPI?
Transcribed Image Text:A plant manager considers the operational cost per hour of five machine alternatives. The cost per hour is sensitive to three potential weather conditions: cold, mild, and warm. The following table represents the operations cost per hour for each alternative- state of nature combination: States of Nature Weather related cost per hour Alternatives Cold cost/day Mild cost/day Warm cost/day Machine 1 28 38 36 Machine 2 42 33 39 Machine 3 32 39 38 Machine 4 29 33 34 Machine 5 37 40 38 Assume that for a randomly selected day, there is a 35% probability of cold weather, 45% probability of mild weather, and 20% probability of warm weather. What is the EVPI?
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