A simplified model for the movement of the prize of a stock supposes that on each day the stock’s price either moves up 1 unit with probability p or it moves down 1 unit with probability 1-p. The changes on different days are assumed independent. Suppose we observe what happens to the price in three days. 1. What is the probability that after 3 days the stock’s price will have increased by 1 unit? 2. Given that after 3 days the stock’s price has increased by 1 unit, what is the probability that it went up on the first day?

College Algebra
7th Edition
ISBN:9781305115545
Author:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem Watson
Publisher:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem Watson
Chapter9: Counting And Probability
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 8CC: (a) An experiment has two outcomes, "success" and "failure„" where the probability of success" is p....
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A simplified model for the movement of the prize of a stock supposes that on each day the stock’s price either moves up 1 unit with probability p or it moves down 1 unit with probability 1-p. The changes on different days are assumed independent. Suppose we observe what happens to the price in three days.

1. What is the probability that after 3 days the stock’s price will have increased by 1 unit?

2. Given that after 3 days the stock’s price has increased by 1 unit, what is the probability that it went up on the first day?

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