a. Obtain the linear trend equation for the following data on new checking accounts at Fair Savings Bank and use it to predict expected new checking accounts for periods 16 through 19. (Round your intermediate calculations and final answers to 2 decimal places.) Period New Accounts Period New Accounts Period New Accounts 1 11 2 3 4 5 Y Y16 Y17 Y18 Y19 200 218 211 227 235 = = = = = 6 7 8 9 10 Forecast for period 16 + 231 247 250 252 267 it 12 13 14 15 281 275 287 288 307 b.Use trend-adjusted smoothing with a = .2 and 3 = .1 to smooth the new account data in part a. What is the forecast for period 16? Compute the initial trend estimate (T) for Period 5 as follows: (Period 4 data - Period 1 data) / 3. Then compute the initial trend- adjusted forecast (TAF+) for Period 5 as follows: Period 4 data + Initial trend estimate for Period 5. Then compute all remaining values (including the St value for Period 5) using the textbook formulas or Excel template. (Round the "Trend"values (Tt) to 3 decimal places and all other intermediate forecast values (TAFt and St) to 2 decimal places. Round your final answer to 2 decimal places.)
a. Obtain the linear trend equation for the following data on new checking accounts at Fair Savings Bank and use it to predict expected new checking accounts for periods 16 through 19. (Round your intermediate calculations and final answers to 2 decimal places.) Period New Accounts Period New Accounts Period New Accounts 1 11 2 3 4 5 Y Y16 Y17 Y18 Y19 200 218 211 227 235 = = = = = 6 7 8 9 10 Forecast for period 16 + 231 247 250 252 267 it 12 13 14 15 281 275 287 288 307 b.Use trend-adjusted smoothing with a = .2 and 3 = .1 to smooth the new account data in part a. What is the forecast for period 16? Compute the initial trend estimate (T) for Period 5 as follows: (Period 4 data - Period 1 data) / 3. Then compute the initial trend- adjusted forecast (TAF+) for Period 5 as follows: Period 4 data + Initial trend estimate for Period 5. Then compute all remaining values (including the St value for Period 5) using the textbook formulas or Excel template. (Round the "Trend"values (Tt) to 3 decimal places and all other intermediate forecast values (TAFt and St) to 2 decimal places. Round your final answer to 2 decimal places.)
Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 44P
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