Based on the following sequential decision tree, compute the expected payoff of node 7. It is (type number only, no decimals, no dollar sign)
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- A payoff table is given as: S1 S2 S3 D1 250 750 500 D2 300 -250 1200 D3 500 500 600 (a) What choice should be made by the optimistic decision maker? (b) What choice should be made by the conservative decision maker? (c) What decision should be made under minimal regret? (d) If the probabilities of d1, d2, and d3 are .2, .5, and .3, respectively, then what choice should be made under expected value?Please create an objective true using these two solutions. Solution1 - More accommodation/residence should be built in the airport itself as it would allow Pascal to save a lot of time consumed while reaching the airport from his house. He would stay in the built-in residence only during his workdays and in his house on the weekend. It will also allow many passengers to stay if their flights get postponed/canceled due to any reason. Solution 2 - If a prayer room/area is built in the airport itself, it will allow Rajput and other diverse travelers and people who work in the airport to complete their prayer in its proper time. Rajput could complete that specific prayer between the time after he checks in his luggage and the boarding time. PLEASE FOLLOW THESE REQUIRMENTS ASWELL OTHERWISE QUESTION WILL BE MARKED INCOMPLETE: Three levels of objectives are included. At the 1st-level, three or more objectives are included. Each 1st-level objective is broken into two or more 2nd-level…As the project manager you have been asked by AstraZeneca to assess the viability of two (2) subprojects based on their net present value (NPV). Based on the information below which project would be selected and why? Projects 1 has an initial investment of $50,000 and a net cash inflow of $27,000 for a period of 2 years. Project 2 has an initial investment of $150,000 and a net cash inflow of $59,000 in year 1 and $120,000 in year 2. The discount rate to be used is 5%
- Suppose you have a choice of three projects to choose from. Here the expected profits from these projects under the following economic scenarios: Project Poor/Fair Moderate/Stable Strong/Booming A -200 $400 $700 B -700 600 1200 C 100 500 900 Now suppose the probability of a Poor/Fair economy is 25%, a Moderate/Stableeconomy is 45% and there is a 30% chance for a Strong/Booming economy.A) Setup a decision tree.B) Determine the expected value (EV) for each project. What project shouldbe selected based on the expected value approach? Why?C) Determine the expected value with perfect information about the states ofnature?D) Determine the expected value without perfect information about the states ofnature?E) Determine the expected value of perfect information.Server Farm Inc. (SFI) needs to upgrade its servercomputers. Company management has identified thefollowing two options: (1) shift to a Windows‐basedplatform from its current Unix‐based platform, or(2) stick with a Unix‐based platform. It is standardpractice at SFI to use a triangular distribution to modeluncertain costs.Along these lines, the company estimates that if itmigrates to Windows, the new server hardware couldcost as little as $100,000 or as much as $200,000. Thetechnical group’s best estimate is that the hardwareMantel_c04.indd 138 9/6/2016 4:52:35 PMcosts will be $125,000 if the Window’s option is pursued. Likewise, the company’s best guess regarding thecost to upgrade and convert its software to Windows is$300,000 with a range of $275,000 to $500,000.Finally, if the company converts to Windows, employeetraining costs are estimated to range between $9,000and $15,000, with the best guess being $10,000. If thecompany sticks with Unix, the new server hardwarewill most likely…How is EMV calculated for these steps. What is the probability and impact in these questions. 1) Should you play at all? (5%) If you play, what is your expected (net) monetary value? (15%)2) If you play and don't win at all on the first try (but don't lose money), should you try again? (5%) Why? (10%)3) Clearly show the decision tree (40%) and expected net monetary value at each node (25%) If you send in your entry before midnight tonight, then here are your chances: 0.1% that you win $1,000,000 75% that you win nothing Otherwise, you must PAY $1,000 But wait, there's more! If you don't win the million AND you don't have to pay on your first attempt, then you can choose to play one more time. If you choose to play again, then here are your chances: 2% that you win $100,000 20% that you win $500 Otherwise, you must PAY $2,000
- A store is evaluating two options: expand to a new location stay and do nothing in current place for the next five years The decision process includes the following: Moving to the new site: would cost $500,000 annual returns with strong growth = $3 million; with weak growth = $2 million Doing nothing: annual returns with strong growth = $2 million; with weak growth = $1.5 million Strong growth has a 70% probability and operating costs for all other options are equal. Draw a decision tree of the problem and determine the best solution with highest expected value.Harley, an ice-cream vendor, purchases each pint of ice-cream for $7 and sells for $20 each. At the end of the week, the unsold ice-cream can be salvaged for $2 each. From past experience, Harley has estimated the sales probabilities as below. What is the optimal number of pints Harley should purchase? Number of Ice-creams Sold, Probability 1 = 0.05, 2 = 0.1, 3 = 0.2 , 4 = 0.25, 5 = 0.15, 6 = 0.1, 7 = 0.08, 8 = 0.07Dave Escalona, a DLSL Computer Engineering graduate, is considering the possibility of opening a small computer shop at SM City Lipa, a few blocks from the school. His options are to open a small shop, a medium-sized shop or no shop at all. The market for the computer shop can be good, average or bad. The probabilities for these possibilities are 0.2 for good market, 0.5 for average market and 0.3 for bad market. The net profit or loss for the medium-sized or small shop for the various market conditions are given in the table below. Building no shop also yields no loss and no gain. What do you recommend? Good Market Average Market Bad Market Alternatives P P P Small shop 75,000 25,000 -40,000 Medium-sized shop 100,000 35,000 -60,000 No shop 0 0 0 Probabilities 0.2 0.5 0.3
- A store is evaluating two options: expand to a new location stay and do nothing in current place for the next five years The decision process includes the following: Moving to the new site: would cost $500,000 annual returns with strong growth = $3 million; with weak growth = $2 million Doing nothing: annual returns with strong growth = $2 million; with weak growth = $1.5 million Strong growth has a 70% probability and operating costs for all other options are equal. Draw a decision tree of the problem and determine the best solution with highest expected value. You can draw the decision tree and solution in either a) Excel or b) by hand, and then upload the file for this assignment.A firm is weighing three capacity alternatives: small, medium, and large job shop.Whatever capacity choice is made, the market for the firm’s product can be “moderate”or “strong.” The probability of moderate acceptance is estimated to be 40%; strongacceptance has a probability of 60%. The payoffs are as follows. Small job shop,moderate market = $24,000; Small job shop, strong market = $54,000. Medium job shop,moderate market = $20,000; medium job shop, strong market = $64,000.Large job shop,moderate market = -$2,000; large job shop, strong market = $96,000. Which capacitychoice should the firm make?As purchasing agent for Eynan Enterprises in Richmond, Virginia, you ask your buyer to provide you with a ranking of "excellent" (worth 4 points), "good" (3 points), "fair" (2 points), or "poor" (1 point) for a variety of characteristics for two potential vendors, Donna Inc. (D) and Kay Corp. (K). You suggest that "Products" total be weighted 0.4, the "Company" total be weighted 0.2, and the "Service" and "Sales" totals each be weighted 0.2. The buyer has returned the following ranking. Which of the two vendors would you select? Click the icon to view the rankings. Part 2 You should choose vendor ▼ Donna Inc. Either Kay Corp. or Donna Inc. Kay Corp. , with a weighted score of ________. (Enter your response rounded to one decimal place.)