(a) What choice should be made by the optimistic decision maker? (b) What choice should be made by the conservative decision maker? (c) What decision should be made under minimal regret?

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Section9.2: Elements Of Decision Analysis
Problem 1P
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A payoff table is given as:

 

S1

S2

S3

D1

250

750

500

D2

300

-250

1200

D3

500

500

600

 

(a) What choice should be made by the optimistic decision maker?

(b) What choice should be made by the conservative decision maker?

(c) What decision should be made under minimal regret?

(d) If the probabilities of d1, d2, and d3 are .2, .5, and .3, respectively, then what choice should be made under expected value?

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