Calculate: a. Expected value of perfect information b. Minimax regret value

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 46P
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Calculate:

a. Expected value of perfect information

b. Minimax regret value

A company is considering the possibility of opening a
small dress shop in Dubai. He has located Dubai because
it attracts many visitors. The options for the company are
to open a small shop, a medium-sized shop, or no shop at
all. The market for a dress shop can be good, average, or
bad. The probabilities for these three possibilities are
0.10 for a good market, 0.50 for an average market, and
the rest for a bad market. The net profit or loss figures for
the medium-sized and small shops for the various market
conditions are given in the following table. Building no
shop at all yields no loss and no gain.
Transcribed Image Text:A company is considering the possibility of opening a small dress shop in Dubai. He has located Dubai because it attracts many visitors. The options for the company are to open a small shop, a medium-sized shop, or no shop at all. The market for a dress shop can be good, average, or bad. The probabilities for these three possibilities are 0.10 for a good market, 0.50 for an average market, and the rest for a bad market. The net profit or loss figures for the medium-sized and small shops for the various market conditions are given in the following table. Building no shop at all yields no loss and no gain.
Medium Shop
Small Shop
No shop
STATE OF MATKET
Average Market
(S)
Good Market(S)
400
200
0
260
160
0
Bad Market (S)
-60
-30
0
Transcribed Image Text:Medium Shop Small Shop No shop STATE OF MATKET Average Market (S) Good Market(S) 400 200 0 260 160 0 Bad Market (S) -60 -30 0
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