1. Kirsten is trying to decide where to go for her well-earned vacation. She would like to camp, but if the weather is bad, she will have to go to a motel. Given the costs and probabilities of bad weather given below, which destination should she choose? Camping cost Motel cost Probability of bad weather Nevada $21.2 $80.9 0.2 Oregon $15.9 $84.6 0.4 California $30 $95 0.1 a. California, because its EMV = $33.14 b. Nevada, because its EMV = $33.14 c. California, because its EMV = $36.5 d. Any of the 3 choices. e. Oregon, because its EMV = $43.38 f. Nevada, because its EMV = $43.38 g. None of the 3 choices. h. Oregon, because its EMV is $36.50.
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1.
Kirsten is trying to decide where to go for her well-earned vacation. She would like to camp, but if the weather is bad, she will have to go to a motel. Given the costs and probabilities of bad weather given below, which destination should she choose?
|
Camping cost |
Motel cost |
Probability of bad weather |
Nevada |
$21.2 |
$80.9 |
0.2 |
Oregon |
$15.9 |
$84.6 |
0.4 |
California |
$30 |
$95 |
0.1 |
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- Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. Is Ben Gibson acting legally? Is he acting ethically? Why or why not?Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. As the Marketing Manager for Southeastern Corrugated, what would you do upon receiving the request for quotation from Coastal Products?Combined-cycle power plants use two combustion turbines to produce electricity. Heat from the first turbine’s exhaust is captured to heat waterand produce steam sent to a second steam turbine that generates additional electricity. A 968-megawatt combined-cycle gas fired plant can be purchased for $450 million, has no salvage value, and produces a net cash flow(revenues less expenses) of $50 million per year over its expected 30-year life. Solve, a. If the hurdle rate (MARR) is 12% per year, how profitable an investment is this power plant? b. What is the simple payback period for the plant? Is this investment acceptable?
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- Your manager is quite concerned about the recent deterioration of a section of the roof on a building that houses your firm's computer operations. According to your assistant there are three options which merit consideration: A, B, and C. Moreover, there are three possible future conditions that must be included in the analysis: I, which has a probability of occurrence of .5; II, which has a probability of .3; and III, which has a probability of .2. If condition I materializes, A will cost $12,000, B will cost $20,000, and C will cost $16,000. If condition II materializes, the costs will be $15,000 for A, $18,000 for B, and $14,000 for C. If condition III materializes, the costs will be $10,000 for A, $15,000 for B, and $19,000 for C. (A) Draw a decision tree for this problem (B) Using expected monetary value, which alternative should be chosen? Explain your Answer.A manager is quite concerned about the recent deterioration of a section of the roof on a building that houses her firm’s computer operations. According to her assistant there are three options which merit consideration: I, II, and III. Moreover, there are three possible future conditions that must be included in the analysis: A, which has a probability of occurrence of .25; B, which has a probability of .6; and C, which has a probability of .15. If condition A materializes, I will cost $12000, II will cost $20000, and III will cost $16000. If condition B materializes, the costs will be $15000 for I, $18000 for II, and $14000 for III. If condition C materializes, the costs will be $10000 for I, $15000 for I, and $19000 for III. (A) Draw a decision tree for this problem. (B) Using expected monetary value, which alternative should be chosenA manager is quite concerned about the recent deterioration of a section of the roof on a building that houses her firm's computer operations. According to her assistant there are three options which merit consideration: I, II, and III. Moreover, there are three possible future conditions that must be included in the analysis: A, which has a probability of occurrence of .3; B, which has a probability of .5; and C, which has a probability of .2.If condition A materializes, I will cost $12,000, II will cost $20,000, and III will cost $16,000. If condition B materializes, the costs will be $15,000 for I, $18,000 for II, and $14,000 for III. If condition C materializes, the costs will be $10,000 for I, $15,000 for II, and $19,000 for III.(A) Draw a decision tree for this problem.(B) Using expected monetary value, which alternative should be chosen?
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