1.  Kirsten is trying to decide where to go for her well-earned vacation. She would like to camp, but if the weather is bad, she will have to go to a motel. Given the costs and probabilities of bad weather given below, which destination should she choose?   Camping cost Motel cost Probability of bad weather Nevada $21.2 $80.9 0.2 Oregon $15.9 $84.6 0.4 California $30 $95 0.1   a. California, because its EMV = $33.14 b. Nevada, because its EMV = $33.14 c. California, because its EMV = $36.5 d. Any of the 3 choices. e. Oregon, because its EMV = $43.38 f. Nevada, because its EMV = $43.38 g. None of the 3 choices. h. Oregon, because its EMV is $36.50.

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Section9.4: The Precision Tree Add-in
Problem 9P
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1. 

Kirsten is trying to decide where to go for her well-earned vacation. She would like to camp, but if the weather is bad, she will have to go to a motel. Given the costs and probabilities of bad weather given below, which destination should she choose?

 

Camping cost

Motel cost

Probability of bad weather

Nevada

$21.2

$80.9

0.2

Oregon

$15.9

$84.6

0.4

California

$30

$95

0.1


 

a.
California, because its EMV = $33.14
b.
Nevada, because its EMV = $33.14
c.
California, because its EMV = $36.5
d.
Any of the 3 choices.
e.
Oregon, because its EMV = $43.38
f.
Nevada, because its EMV = $43.38
g.
None of the 3 choices.
h.
Oregon, because its EMV is $36.50.
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