Calculate the correlation coefficient (PAB) for the following situation: (Round intermediate calculations and the final answer to 4 decimal place, e.g. 0.2921.) State of the economy High growth Moderate Recession Probability of occurrence 30% 25% 45% Expected return on stock A in this state 38.5% 17.5% -5.5% Expected return on stock B in this state 55.5% 25.5% -15.5%
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- 1.) On a single chart, plot the value of $1 invested in each of the five indexes over time. I.e., for all ??, plot the cumulative return series for each index: ?????? = (1 + ?��1)(1 + ?��2)...(1 + ????) What patterns do you observe? (10 points) 2.) Plot a histogram of only the Global index returns. Does the distribution look normal? (5 points) 3.) Estimate the following for each of the indices. In calculating the statistics, “monthly” can be interpreted as “not annualized”. (30 points) a. Arithmetic average of monthly returns, and annualized arithmetic return using the APR method b. Geometric average of monthly returns, and annualized geometric return using the EAR method. Why does the geometric average differ from the arithmetic average? c. Standard deviation of monthly returns, and annualized standard deviation d. Sharpe Ratio of monthly returns, and annualized Sharpe Ratio e. Skewness of monthly returns f. Kurtosis of monthly returns g. 5% Value at Risk (VaR) of…Which one of the following best describes an arithmetic average return? Multiple Choice A. Total return divided by N − 1, where N equals the number of individual returns B. Average compound return earned per year over a multiyear period C. Total compound return divided by the number of individual returns D. Return earned in an average year over a multiyear period E. Positive square root of the average compound returnSuppose the returns on an asset are normally distributed. The historical average annual return for the asset was 5.7 percent and the standard deviation was 18.3 percent. a. What is the probability that your return on this asset will be less than –4.1 percent in a given year? Use the NORMDIST function in Excel® to answer this question. (Do not round intermediate calculations and enter your answer as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) b. What range of returns would you expect to see 95 percent of the time? (Enter your answers for the range from lowest to highest. A negative answer should be indicated by a minus sign. Do not round intermediate calculations and enter your answers as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) c. What range of returns would you expect to see 99 percent of the time? (Enter your answers for the range from lowest to highest. A negative answer should be indicated by a minus sign. Do not round intermediate calculations…
- Use the following information to compute the standard deviation of returns: Yearly Returns Year Return (%) 1 19 2 1 3 10 4 26 5 4 a. 12% b. 10.42% c. 0.87% d. 108.5%Consider the following time series: a. Construct a time series plot. What type of pattern exists in the data? Is there an indication of a seasonal pattern? b. Use a multiple linear regression model with dummy variables as follows to develop an equation to account for seasonal effects in the data: Qtr1 = 1 if quarter 1, 0 otherwise; Qtr2 = 1 if quarter 2, 0 otherwise; Qtr3 = 1 if quarter 3, 0 otherwise. c. Compute the quarterly forecasts for next year.Consider the following time series data: Construct a time series plot. What type of pattern exists in the data? Use a multiple regression model with dummy variables as follows to develop an equation to account for seasonal effects in the data: Qtr1 = 1 if quarter 1, 0 otherwise; Qtr2 = 1 if quarter 2. 0 otherwise; Qtr3 = 1 if quarter 3, 0 otherwise. Compute the quarterly forecasts for next year based on the model you developed in part (b). Use a multiple regression model to develop an equation to account for trend and seasonal effects in the data. Use the dummy variables you developed in part (b) to capture seasonal effects and create a variable t such that t = 1 for quarter 1 in year 1, t = 2 for quarter 2 in year 1, … t = 12 for quarter 4 in year 3. Compute the quarterly forecasts for next year based on the model you developed in part (d). Is the model you developed in part (b) or the model you developed in part (d) more effective? Justify your answer.
- Show your work (use of formula, etc.) in solving the problem. Provide your answer/solution in the answer space provided below. Answer the question: Given the following historical returns, calculate the average return and the standard deviation: Year Return 1 14% 2 10% 3 15% 4 11%The standard deviation of return on investment a is 0.10, while the standard deviation of return on investment b is 0.04. If the correlation coefficient between the returns on A and B is_____________. A. -0.0447 B. -0.0020 C. 0.0020 D. 0.0447A regression line has an intercept value of 174.71 and slope value of 25.22. What is the predicted value (the y-value) in the 100th period (the x-value is 100)? Round to two decimal places.
- Calculate the standard deviation of the following returns. Year Return 1 0.25 2 0.16 3 0.01 4 0.07 5 -0.11Which one of the following is defined as the average compound return earned per year over a multiyear period? Multiple Choice A Geometric average return B Variance of returns C Standard deviation of returns D Arithmetic average return E. Normal distribution of returnsuppose the average return on Asset A is 7.1 percent and the standard deviation is 8.3 percent, and the average return and standard deviation on Asset B are 4.2 percent and 3.6 percent, respectively. Further assume that the returns are normally distributed. Use the NORMDIST function in Excel® to answer the following questions. a. What is the probability that in any given year, the return on Asset A will be greater than 12 percent? Less than 0 percent? (Do not round intermediate calculations and enter your answers as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) b. What is the probability that in any given year, the return on Asset B will be greater than 12 percent? Less than 0 percent? (Do not round intermediate calculations and enter your answers as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) c-1. In a particular year, the return on Asset A was −4.38 percent. How likely is it that such a low return will recur at some point in the future? (Do not round…