Consider the lottery that assigns a probability r of obtaining a level of consumption CH and a probability 1– an individual facing such a lottery with utility function u(c) that has the properties that more is better (that is, a strictly positive marginal utility of consumption at all levels of c) and diminishing marginal utility of consumption, u"(c) < 0. As usual, we are using the shorthand u'(c) = consumption and u"(c) = -T of obtaining a low level of consumption CL with cH > CL. Consider du(c) for the first derivative of the utility function with respect to dc du(c) dc2 du' (c) dc to be the second derivative of the utility function %3D (which is also the derivative of the first derivative of the utility function).
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- Suppose Martha earns an of income 400 Birr currently, and her utility function is given by: U(m) = 4m, where m represents income. She has two options: Option 1: to buy a share. If she is successful her income will be 700 Birr and if she is not successful her income will be 100 Birr. Option 2: to do nothing and keep on earning 400 Birr. Assuming that success and failure are equally likely, a) What would be her expected income if she buys the share? b) What would be her expected utility of buying the share? c) Would Martha buy the share? Why? and Is Martha risk averse, risk lover or risk neutral?A woman with current wealth X has the opportunity to bet an amount on the occurrence of an event that she knows will occur with probability P. If she wagers W, she will received 2W, if the event occur and if it does not. Assume that the Bernoulli utility function takes the form u(x) = with r > 0. How much should she wager? Does her utility function exhibit CARA, DARA, IARA? Alex plays football for a local club in Kumasi. If he does not suffer any injury by the end of the season, he will get a professional contract with Kotoko, which is worth $10,000. If he is injured though, he will get a contract as a fitness coach worth $100. The probability of the injury is 10%. Describe the lottery What is the expected value of this lottery? What is the expected utility of this lottery if u(x) = Assume he could buy insurance at price P that could pay $9,900 in case of injury. What is the highest value of P that makes it worthwhile for Alex to purchase insurance? What is the certainty…A risk-averse agent, Andy, has power utility of consumption with riskaversion coefficient γ = 0.5. While standing in line at the conveniencestore, Andy hears that the odds of winning the jackpot in a new statelottery game are 1 in 250. A lottery ticket costs $1. Assume his income isIt = $100. You can assume that there is only one jackpot prize awarded,and there is no chance it will be shared with another player. The lotterywill be drawn shortly after Andy buys the ticket, so you can ignore therole of discounting for time value. For simplicity, assume that ct+1 = 100even if Andy buys the ticket How large would the jackpot have to be in order for Andy to play thelottery? b) What is the fair (expected) value of the lottery with the jackpot youfound in (a)? What is the dollar amount of the risk premium that Andyrequires to play the lottery? Solve for the optimal number of lottery tickets that Andy would buyif the jackpot value were $10,000 (the ticket price, the odds of winning,and Andy’s…
- Consider the choice between the following two lotteries.L1 = (0, 0.2; 200, 0.8) ;L2 = (0, 0.6; 300, 0.4).Now consider a choice between another pair of lotteriesL3 = (0, 0.6; 200, 0.4) ;L4 = (0, 0.8; 300, 0.2)Suppose that a decision maker prefers the lottery L1 to the lottery L2 andderives zero utility from an outcome of zero. If the decision maker followsexpected utility theory, which lottery among L3 and L4 will the decision makerchoose?Betty is looking for a job. She considers job opportunities intwo cities. Bettyís utility is given by y- x, where y is the lifetime income andx is the amount spent on buying a house. The income from City 1 fluctuatesalthough the house price is stable. On the contrary, the income from City2 is stable while the house price fluctuates. If she moves to City 1, Bettycan earn a lifetime income y1 with probability alpha and 1 + y1 with probability1-alpha . The house price in City 1 is x1. Moving to City 2 means that Bettycan earn an income of y2. However, the house price is x2 with probabilitygamma and 1 + x2 with probability 1-gamma . Do the following: (a) Write down theexpected utilities associated with living in the two respective cities, i.e., V1and V2. (b) Derive the condition under which Betty chooses City 1.Prospect Y = ($6, 0.25 ; $15, 0.75) If Will's utility of wealth function is given by u(x)=x0.25, what is the value of CE(Y) for Will? (In other words, what is Will's certainty equivalent for prospect Y?) (The certainty equivalent represents the maximum amount a person would be willing to pay to acquire a risky prospect, and equivalently, the lowest price for which they would be willing to sell a risky prospect if they already owned it) (Note: The answer may not be a whole number; please round to the nearest hundredth) (Note: The numbers may change between questions, so read carefully)
- Suppose that you have two opportunities to invest $1M. The first will increase the amount invested by 50% with a probability of 0.6 or decrease it with a probability of 0.4. The second will increase it by 5% for certain. You wish to split the $1M between the two opportunities. Let x be the amount invested in the first opportunity with (1-x) invested in the second. Find the optimal value of x. Using expected value as the criterion (linear utility) Using the flowing utility function: u(x)=2.3 ln〖(1+4.5x)An individual is oered a choice of either $50 or a lottery which may result in $0and $100, each with equal probability 1/2 . If the individual has a utility function u(w) = 5 + 2w, which one would they choose? If the individual has a utility function u(w) =w1/2 + 1?Y5 Alfred is a risk-averse person with $100 in monetary wealth and owns a house worth $300, for total wealth of $400. The probability that his house is destroyed by fire (equivalent to a loss of $300) is pne = 0.5. If he exerts an effort level e = 0.3 to keep his house safe, the probability falls to pe = 0.2. His utility function is: U = w0.5 – e where e is effort level exerted (zero in the case of no effort and 0.3 in the case of effort).a. In the absence of insurance, does Alfred exert effort to lower the probability of fire?HINT: Calculate and compare the expected utility i) with effort, and ii) without effort. If effort is exerted, then the effort cost is paid regardless of whether or not a fire occurs.b. Alfred is considering buying fire insurance. The insurance agent explains that a home owner’s insurance policy would require paying a premium α and would repay the value of the house in the event of fire, minus a deductible “D”. [A deductible is an amount of money that the…
- Assume that someone has inherited 2,000 bottles of wine from a rich uncle. He or she intends to drink these bottles over the next 40 years. Suppose that this person’s utility function for wine is given by u(c(t)) = (c(t))0.5, where c(t) is each instant t consumption of bottles. Assume also this person discounts future consumption at the rate δ = 0.05. Hence this person’s goal is to maximize 0ʃ40 e–0.05tu(c(t))dt = 0ʃ40 e–0.05t(c(t))0.5dt. Let x(t) represent the number of bottle of wine remaining at time t, constrained by x(0) = 2,000, x(40) = 0 and dx(t)/dt = – c(t): the stock of remaining bottles at each instant t is decreased by the consumption of bottles at instant t. The current value Hamiltonian expression yields: H = e–0.05t(c(t))0.5 + λ(– c(t)) + x(t)(dλ/dt). This person’s wine consumption decreases at a continuous rate of ??? percent per year. The number of bottles being consumed in the 30th year is approximately ???An investor with capital x can invest any amount between0 and x; if y is invested then y is eitherwon or lost, with respectiveprobabilities p and 1− p. If p > 1/2, how much should be invested byan investor having a exponential utility function u(x) = 1 − e −bx ,b > 0.PLS ANS 7 URGENT H = ($100, 0.4; $200, 0.6) K = ($120,p, $300, 1- p) 6. EV(H) =EV(K) What value of p makes this statement true? 7. Carol owns prospect H and is interested in selling it. Her utility of wealth function is given by u(x) = x^0.5 . What is the lowest price for which Carol would be willing to sell prospect H?