Consider two individuals who face an uncertain income, w, that can have two values, 0 and 16, with equal probabilities. The individuals' utility functions are given by: u¹ = w¹/2 and u² = (w¹/2)¹/2. Use THESE utility functions to show that the individual who is more risk averse is willing to pay a higher risk premium.
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- Natasha has utility function u(I) = (10*I)0.5, where I is her annual income (in thousands). (a) Is she a risk loving, risk averse or risk neutral individual? She is [risk loving, risk adverse, risk neutral] , as her utility function is [concave, convex, linear] (b) Suppose that she is currently earning an income of $40,000 (I = 40) and can earn that income next year with certainty. She is offered a chance to take a new job that offers a 0.6 probability of earning $44,000 and a 0.4 probability of earning $33,000. She should [take, not take] the new job because her expected utility of (approximately) [18.27,19.82,20,20.95,21.14] is [greater than, less than, equal to] her current utility of [18.27,19.85,20,20.95,21.14] .2. Maria has $100. There is a 50% that she will lose all of it. Her utility as a functionof wealth is u(c) = √c. a. What is the maximum amount she would be willing to pay to fully insure againstthe 50% probability of the loss? b. Is she risk averse, risk loving, or risk neutral?Y5 Alfred is a risk-averse person with $100 in monetary wealth and owns a house worth $300, for total wealth of $400. The probability that his house is destroyed by fire (equivalent to a loss of $300) is pne = 0.5. If he exerts an effort level e = 0.3 to keep his house safe, the probability falls to pe = 0.2. His utility function is: U = w0.5 – e where e is effort level exerted (zero in the case of no effort and 0.3 in the case of effort).a. In the absence of insurance, does Alfred exert effort to lower the probability of fire?HINT: Calculate and compare the expected utility i) with effort, and ii) without effort. If effort is exerted, then the effort cost is paid regardless of whether or not a fire occurs.b. Alfred is considering buying fire insurance. The insurance agent explains that a home owner’s insurance policy would require paying a premium α and would repay the value of the house in the event of fire, minus a deductible “D”. [A deductible is an amount of money that the…
- Leora has a monthly income of $20,736. Unfortunately, there is a chance that she will have an accident that will result in costs of $10,736. Thus leaving her an income of only $10,000. The probability of an accident is 0.5. Finally assume that her preferences over income can be represented by the utility function u(x) = 2ln(x).a) What is the expected income? What is Leora’s expected utility (you may leave in log form)? b) What is the certainty equivalent to her situation? What is the risk premium associated with her situation?c) What is the maximum that Leora would be willing to pay for a full insurance policy?d) Illustrate her expected utility, expected wealth, certainty equivalent, the risk premium and her willingness to pay for a full insurance policy in a diagram.An investor has a power utility function with a coefficient of relative risk aversion of 3. Compare the utility that the investor would receive from a certain income of £2 with that generated by a lottery having equally likely outcomes of £1 and £3. Calculate the certain level of income which, for an investor with preferences as above, would generate identical expected utility to the lottery described. How much of the original certain income of £2 the investor would be willing to pay to avoid the lottery? Detail the calculations and carefully explain your answer.A risk-averse agent, Andy, has power utility of consumption with riskaversion coefficient γ = 0.5. While standing in line at the conveniencestore, Andy hears that the odds of winning the jackpot in a new statelottery game are 1 in 250. A lottery ticket costs $1. Assume his income isIt = $100. You can assume that there is only one jackpot prize awarded,and there is no chance it will be shared with another player. The lotterywill be drawn shortly after Andy buys the ticket, so you can ignore therole of discounting for time value. For simplicity, assume that ct+1 = 100even if Andy buys the ticket How large would the jackpot have to be in order for Andy to play thelottery? b) What is the fair (expected) value of the lottery with the jackpot youfound in (a)? What is the dollar amount of the risk premium that Andyrequires to play the lottery? Solve for the optimal number of lottery tickets that Andy would buyif the jackpot value were $10,000 (the ticket price, the odds of winning,and Andy’s…
- Consider the constant relative risk aversion utility of wealth function from Chapter 3 for an investor with gamma parameter equal to 0.25: U(W) = W^(0.25)/(0.25) = 4W^(0.25). Suppose this investor is faced with a 50-50 bet to receive nothing or to receive 1000 dollars. What's a fair price for this bet to the investor? I.e., what is the certainty equivalent wealth (CEW) associated with this bet, for this investorConsider the model of competitive insurance. Peter is a risk averse individual with the utility function u(w) = w0.5. His current wealth is $300 and with probability 1/2 he will incur a loss of D = $240, but with probability 1/2 he will incur no loss. Ann has the same utility u(w) = w0.5 and current wealth $300 as Peter, but a different probability of loss: she will incur a loss of D = $240 with probability 0.3, and no loss with probability 0.7. In the separating equilibrium Peter is offered actuarially fair full insurance contract, so his wealth is equal to $180, whether loss happens or not. What amount of insurance (approximately) will Ann be offered an insurance contract with?Consider a medieval Italian merchant who is a risk averse expected utility maximiser. Their wealth will beequal to y if their ship returns safely from Asia loaded with the finest silk. If the ship sinks, their incomewill be y − L. The chance of a safe return is 50%. Now suppose that there are two identical merchants, A and B, who are both risk averse expected utilitymaximisers with utility of income given by u(y) = ln y. The income of each merchant will be 8 if theirown ship returns and 2 if it sinks. As previously, the probability of a safe return is 50% for each ship.However, with probability p ≤ 1/2 both ships will return safely. With the same probability p both willsink. Finally, with the remaining probability, only one ship will return safely.(iv) Compute the increase in the utility of each merchant that they could achieve from pooling theirincomes (as a function of p). How does the benefit of pooling depend on the probability p? Explainintuitively why this is the case.
- David is an expected-utility maximizer that likes to drive fast (and reckless at times), so his probability of an accident is 2/3. David’s preferences over wealth are u(w) = √?. Suppose that David’s initial wealth is $100. If David has an accident, he incurs a $51 loss. How much is the risk premium David willing to pay to be as well off in case of accident or not?a. Suppose that you took part in a lottery that has a chance to increase, decrease or have no effect on your level of income. With probability 0.5, your income remains at it original level K500; with 0.2 probability, your income increases to K700; and with probability 0.3, your income decreases to K400. The utility function is.u(1) =I^0.7where I denote income leveli.Using the utility function show that the consumer's risk preference is averse. (2marks)ii.Calculate both the EU and EV of the income. (4marks)iii.Using the results in (il) above, indicate the attitude to risk of this consumer. (2marks)Question 3 Consider a medieval Italian merchant who is a risk averse expected utility maximiser. Their wealth will be equal to y if their ship returns safely from Asia loaded with the finest silk. If the ship sinks, their income will be y − L. The chance of a safe return is 50%. (i) Draw and carefully label the merchant’s endowment point, their expected income, and their cer- tainty equivalent income in a 2-dimensional state-contingent consumption space. (ii) Use the diagram to illustrate and explain how the merchant would benefit from buying insurance in a competitive insurance market. At which point a risk-neutral insurance firm would maximise their profits by offering the merchant full insurance?