Could you please help with part b?

College Algebra
7th Edition
ISBN:9781305115545
Author:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem Watson
Publisher:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem Watson
Chapter9: Counting And Probability
Section9.2: Probability
Problem 3E: The conditional probability of E given that F occur is P(EF)= _____________. So in rolling a die the...
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Could you please help with part b?

2.63 The structure shown in the figure below could be subject
to settlement problems. The likelihood of having a settlement
problem (event A) depends on the subsoil condition, in particu-
lar, whether a weak zone exists in the subsoil or not. If there is
a small weak zone (event S), the probability of A is 0.2; if the
weak zone is large (event L), the probability of A becomes 0.6;
last, if no weak zone exists (event N), then the probability of A
is only 0.05. Based on their experiences with the geology of the
neighborhood and the soil information from the preliminary site
exploration program, the engineers in this case believe that there
is a 70% chance of no weak zone in the stratum underlying the
structure; however, if there is a weak zone, it would be twice as
likely to be small than large.
Structure
Weak zone?
Large or small?
(a) What is the probability that the structure will have a settle-
ment problem? (Ans. 0.135)
(b) Suppose an additional boring can be performed at the site to
gather more information about the presence of the weak material.
The engineers judge that: If a large weak zone exists, it is 80%
likely that the boring will encounter it; this encounter probabil-
ity drops to 30% for a small weak zone. Obviously, the boring
will not encounter any weak material if the weak zone does not
exist at all. Suppose the additional boring failed to encounter any
weak material:
i. What is the probability of the presence of a large weak
zone? (Ans. 0.023)
ii. What is the probability of a small weak zone? (Ans. 0.163)
iii. In this case, what is the probability that the structure will
have a settlement problem? (Ans. 0.087)
Transcribed Image Text:2.63 The structure shown in the figure below could be subject to settlement problems. The likelihood of having a settlement problem (event A) depends on the subsoil condition, in particu- lar, whether a weak zone exists in the subsoil or not. If there is a small weak zone (event S), the probability of A is 0.2; if the weak zone is large (event L), the probability of A becomes 0.6; last, if no weak zone exists (event N), then the probability of A is only 0.05. Based on their experiences with the geology of the neighborhood and the soil information from the preliminary site exploration program, the engineers in this case believe that there is a 70% chance of no weak zone in the stratum underlying the structure; however, if there is a weak zone, it would be twice as likely to be small than large. Structure Weak zone? Large or small? (a) What is the probability that the structure will have a settle- ment problem? (Ans. 0.135) (b) Suppose an additional boring can be performed at the site to gather more information about the presence of the weak material. The engineers judge that: If a large weak zone exists, it is 80% likely that the boring will encounter it; this encounter probabil- ity drops to 30% for a small weak zone. Obviously, the boring will not encounter any weak material if the weak zone does not exist at all. Suppose the additional boring failed to encounter any weak material: i. What is the probability of the presence of a large weak zone? (Ans. 0.023) ii. What is the probability of a small weak zone? (Ans. 0.163) iii. In this case, what is the probability that the structure will have a settlement problem? (Ans. 0.087)
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