Cumulative cases 70,000 -5 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 Chart 23: Model of Cumulative Cases of Coronavirus with Social Distancing Measures Taken One Day Apart -4 A -3 -2 -1 -2 -1- 0 1 13 14 15 16 17 1 No social distancing 19 20 21 Social distancing one day later (n+21) A Social distancig started on dayn+20 29 30 31 +40%! Number of days 10

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