During the past five months the emergency room at the new district Hospital has observed the number of patients during the weekend (Friday through Sunday). They typically experience greater patient traffic on weekends than during the week. WEEK NO. OF PATIENTS 1 105 2 119 3 122 4 128 5 117 6 136 7 141 8 126 9 143 10 140 a) Compute a weighted three-period moving average forecast, using weights of 3, 2, and 1 for the most recent, next recent, and most distant data. b) What are the MAD, MSE and the MPE for this method? c) If the company decided to forecast using exponential smoothing with value of alpha =.3, what is the forecast in month 11? (use 2 decimal places)

Linear Algebra: A Modern Introduction
4th Edition
ISBN:9781285463247
Author:David Poole
Publisher:David Poole
Chapter7: Distance And Approximation
Section7.3: Least Squares Approximation
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During the past five months the emergency room at the new district Hospital has observed the number of patients during the weekend (Friday through Sunday). They typically experience greater patient traffic on weekends than during the week.

WEEK

NO. OF PATIENTS

1

105

2

119

3

122

4

128

5

117

6

136

7

141

8

126

9

143

10

140

a) Compute a weighted three-period moving average forecast, using weights of 3, 2, and 1 for the most recent, next recent, and most distant data.

b) What are the MAD, MSE and the MPE for this method?

c) If the company decided to forecast using exponential smoothing with value of alpha =.3, what is the forecast in month 11? (use 2 decimal places)

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