Edwards Machine Tools needs to purchase a new machine. The basic model is slower but costs less, while the advanced model is faster but costs more. Profitability will depend on future demand. The following table presents an estimate of profits over the next three years.     Decision Low Medium High Basic Model $75,000 $95,000 $120,000 Advanced Model $60,000 $150,000 $260,000     Given the uncertainty associated with the demand volume and no other information to work with, how would you make a decision?     Use the Excel template Decision Analysis and explain your reasoning.

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Section9.2: Elements Of Decision Analysis
Problem 2P
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Edwards Machine Tools needs to purchase a new machine. The basic model is slower but costs less, while the advanced model is faster but costs more. Profitability will depend on future demand. The following table presents an estimate of profits over the next three years.

 

 

Decision

Low

Medium

High

Basic Model

$75,000

$95,000

$120,000

Advanced Model

$60,000

$150,000

$260,000

 

 

Given the uncertainty associated with the demand volume and no other information to work with, how would you make a decision? 

 

 Use the Excel template Decision Analysis and explain your reasoning.

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