Even though independent gasoline stations have been having a difficult time, Susan Solomon has been thinking about starting her own independent gasoline station. Susan's problem is to decide how large her station should be. The annual returns will depend on both the size of her station and a number of marketing factors related to the oil industry and demand for gasoline. After a careful analysis, Susan developed the following table: SIZE OF GOOD FAIR POOR MARKET MARKET MARKET ($) FIRST STATION ($) ($) Small 50,000 20,000 -10,000 Medium 80,000 30,000 -20,000 Large 100,000 30,000 -40,000 Very large 300,000 25,000 -160,000 For example, if Susan constructs a small station and the market is good, she will realize a profit of $50,000. (a) Develop a decision table for this decision. (b) What is the maximax decision? (c) What is the maximin decision? (d) What is the equally likely decision?
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- Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. Ethical decisions that affect a buyers ethical perspective usually involve the organizational environment, cultural environment, personal environment, and industry environment. Analyze this scenario using these four variables.Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What should Sharon do in this situation?Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What does the Institute of Supply Management code of ethics say about financial conflicts of interest?
- Subject: Logistic Management Q#6) What is Porters Power Model explain with example? Q#7) What is risk management & mitigation explain with example?Question 1 DO ALL WORK IN EXCEL AND SHOW FORMULAS Patrick Bateman is considering four alternatives Friday night. The payoff for each opportunity will depend on economic and other conditions and are represented in the payoff table below. Poor Average Good Excellent Return videotapes 70 75 80 95 Dinner at Dorsia 95 40 200 220 Pick up friends in his limo 105 85 95 120 Design new business cards 65 105 120 125 Under which decision making and amount is the: A) optimistic B) pessimistic C) minimax D) Suppose that the likelihood for each of the scenarios is 0.5, 0.1, 0.35, and 0.05 What is the optimal decision under the expected value approach? E) Suppose that the likelihood for each of the scenarios is 0.5, 0.1, 0.35, and 0.05 What is the expected value of perfect information?Question 1 Given the following payoff table with the profits ($m), a firm might expect alternative investments (A, B, C) under different levels of interest rate. payoffs as profits states of nature decision alternatives 1(5%) 2(7%) 3(9%) A 14 22 6 B 19 18 11 C 12 17 15 a. Use the alternative method to verify EVPI NOW ASSUME THAT THE PAYOFFS ARE COSTS ANSWER THE FOLLOWING: b. What is the most the firm should be willing to pay to obtain further (perfect) information (EVPI)? c. Use the alternative method to verify EVPI. Please answer all three parts of Question 1.
- In 2015, Keenan Company paid dividends totaling $3,600,000 on net income of $10.8 million. Note that 2015 was a normal year and that for thepast 10 years, earnings have grown at a constant rate of 10%. However, in 2016, earnings are expected to jump to $14.4 million and the firm expects to have profitable investment opportunities of $8.4 million. It is predicted that Keenan will not be able to maintain the 2016 level of earnings growth because the high 2016 earnings level is attributable to an exceptionallyprofitable new product line introduced that year. After 2016, the company will return to its previous 10% growth rate. Keenan’s target capital structure is 40% debt and 60% equity.a. Calculate Keenan’s total dividends for 2016 assuming that it follows each of the following policies:1. Its 2016 dividend payment is set to force dividends to grow at the long-run growth rate in earnings.2. It continues the 2015 dividend payout ratio. 3. It uses a pure residual dividend policy (40% of the…Question 4An investor is to purchase one of three types of real estate, as illustrated in Figure below. Theinvestor must decide among an apartment building, an office building, and a warehouse. Thefuture states of nature that will determine how much profit the investor will make are goodeconomic conditions and poor economic conditions. The profits that will result from eachdecision in the event of each state of nature are shown in Table below: a) Find the optimal act using Maxi-Max criteriab) Find the optimal act using Mini-Max criteria c) Find the optimal act using Maxi-Min criteria d) Find the optimal act using Min-Max regret tableQ3(c). On the assumption that Mr. Francois is thinking about starting a branch in some foreign country, he will need advice on the types of strategies that could be adopted. How would you advise Mr. Francois and his family about the best approaches to entering a foreign market considering the type of business that he is engaged in? Provide justification for your advice. In addition, could you indicate to Mr. Francois and family about the types of experiences that they may encounter which may not be always positive.
- Q3. Assume you are the manager of a financial institution. How would you structure your balance sheet using the maturity gap model if you expected interest rates to decrease? Choose the correct option 1. It would depend on the volatility of the market interest rates. 2. It would depend on the FI’s leverage level. 3. It would depend on the financial institution’s current profitability. 4. It would create a negative maturity gap. 5. It would create a positive maturity gap.Q1. Mr. John Francois, the owner of John Francois Stores has been operating a successful business since 1977. However, he is not fully aware of what strategic management and planning entails. As a trust worthy employee, Mr. Francois has asked you to host a weekend retreat with him, his family members, and selected members of staff so that you can advise them about what strategic management and planning entails as well as how important it is for the organization to engage in strategic management and planning. What would you say to the members present at the retreat so that they can have a very good understanding of what strategic management and planning entails, and why they should engage in the process so as to maintain the competitive advantage of John Francois Stores?Q 3 a. Explain the following as used in Decision support system ▪ Simulation ▪ Artificial intelligence ▪ Mathematical models and Algorithms b. Identify two problems and their tools that a given entity can used in its decision support system to solve a problem. c. In an operating executing system, decision support system provides three levels of sophistication. Identify and discuss these three levels of sophistication.