Even though independent gasoline stations have been having a difficult time, Susan Solomon has been thinking about starting her own independent gasoline station. Susan's problem is to decide how large her station should be. The annual returns will depend on both the size of her station and a number of marketing factors related to the oil industry and demand for gasoline. After a careful analysis, Susan developed the following table: SIZE OF GOOD FAIR POOR MARKET MARKET MARKET ($) FIRST STATION ($) ($) Small 50,000 20,000 -10,000 Medium 80,000 30,000 -20,000 Large 100,000 30,000 -40,000 Very large 300,000 25,000 -160,000 For example, if Susan constructs a small station and the market is good, she will realize a profit of $50,000. (a) Develop a decision table for this decision. (b) What is the maximax decision? (c) What is the maximin decision? (d) What is the equally likely decision?

Purchasing and Supply Chain Management
6th Edition
ISBN:9781285869681
Author:Robert M. Monczka, Robert B. Handfield, Larry C. Giunipero, James L. Patterson
Publisher:Robert M. Monczka, Robert B. Handfield, Larry C. Giunipero, James L. Patterson
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Q:3-30 Even though independent gasoline stations have
been having a difficult time, Susan Solomon has
been thinking about starting her own independent
gasoline station. Susan's problem is to decide how
large her station should be. The annual returns will
depend on both the size of her station and a number
of marketing factors related to the oil industry and
demand for gasoline. After a careful analysis, Susan
developed the following table:
SIZE OF
GOOD
FAIR
POOR
FIRST
MARKET MARKET MARKET
STATION
($)
($)
($)
Small
50,000
20,000
-10,000
Medium
80,000
30,000
-20,000
Large
100,000
30,000
-40,000
Very large
300,000
25,000
-160,000
For example, if Susan constructs a small station
and the market is good, she will realize a profit of
$50,000.
(a) Develop a decision table for this decision.
(b) What is the maximax decision?
(c) What is the maximin decision?
(d) What is the equally likely decision?
(e) What is the criterion of realism decision? Use an
a value of 0.8.
POCO (f) Develop an opportunity loss table.
SHOT ON POCO2 PRoat is the minimax regret decision?
Transcribed Image Text:Q:3-30 Even though independent gasoline stations have been having a difficult time, Susan Solomon has been thinking about starting her own independent gasoline station. Susan's problem is to decide how large her station should be. The annual returns will depend on both the size of her station and a number of marketing factors related to the oil industry and demand for gasoline. After a careful analysis, Susan developed the following table: SIZE OF GOOD FAIR POOR FIRST MARKET MARKET MARKET STATION ($) ($) ($) Small 50,000 20,000 -10,000 Medium 80,000 30,000 -20,000 Large 100,000 30,000 -40,000 Very large 300,000 25,000 -160,000 For example, if Susan constructs a small station and the market is good, she will realize a profit of $50,000. (a) Develop a decision table for this decision. (b) What is the maximax decision? (c) What is the maximin decision? (d) What is the equally likely decision? (e) What is the criterion of realism decision? Use an a value of 0.8. POCO (f) Develop an opportunity loss table. SHOT ON POCO2 PRoat is the minimax regret decision?
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