How we can measure uncertainty in the environment? Define it with the help of relevant grid. Also provide at least one example of an organization for each quadrant of the grid. Mention the examples in the grid below in their respective cells. Degree of complexity Degree of change stable dynamic simple CELL 1: example CELL 2: example complex CELL 3: example CELL4: example
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- How we can measure uncertainty in the environment? Define it with the help of relevant grid. Also provide at least one example of an organization for each quadrant of the grid. Mention the examples in the grid below in their respective cells.
Degree of complexity |
Degree of change |
|
|
stable |
dynamic |
simple |
CELL 1: example |
CELL 2: example |
complex |
CELL 3: example |
CELL4: example |
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- Use the table below to answer the questions that follow and caculate the Expected Monetary Value(EMV) of the different outcomesDECISION TABLE WITH CONDITIONAL VALUESSTATE OF NATUREFAVORABLE OUTCOME UNFAVORABLE OUTCOMEALTERNATIVES ($) ($)Start a big Company 2,000,000 -500,000Start a small company 800,000 -200,000Build Nothing 0 0Probabilities 0.3 0.7Calculate the following The EMV Maximin criterion Maximax criterion Minimax criterion1. Suppose you are going on a weekend trip to a city that is d miles away. Develop a model that determines your round-trip gasoline costs. What assumptions or approximations are necessary to treat this model as a deterministic model? Are these assumptions or approximations acceptable to you? 2. Suppose that a manager has a choice between the following two mathematical models of a given situation: (a)a relatively simple model that is a reasonable approximation of the real situation, and (b)a thorough and complex model that is the most accurate mathematical representation of the real situation possible. Why might the model described in part (a) be preferred by the manager?Formulate the situation as a system of inequalities. (Let x represent the number of dinghies the company can manufacture and y represent the number of rowboats.) A boat company manufactures aluminum dinghies and rowboats. The hours of metal work and painting needed for each are shown in the table, together with the hours of skilled labor available for each task. How many of each kind of boat can the company manufacture? (hours) Dinghy Rowboat Labor Available Metal Work 2 3 108 Painting 2 2 90 (labor for metal work) (labor for painting) x ≥ 0, y ≥ 0
- You have an idea for a new web service that offers customized workouts for subscribers. Build a spreadsheet to calculate 1) the number of new customers each month and 2) the total customer base (cumulative number of customers signed up) each month. Mimic what we did in the class to project the subscription volumes for 60 months under the following sets of assumptions. a)Total market potential is 1,000,000 customers. Each month, you sign up 2% of customers in the market that have not yet signed up. b)Total market potential is initially 1,000,000 customers, but grows at 1% per month. Each month, you sign up 2% of customers in the market that have not yet signed up. Use the graph wizard to make a graph comparing total customer base under each of the two scenarios. Which type of graph is appropriate?Integrated Products Corporation (IPC) needs to estimate its PC sales for next year.The most recent six years of revenue data for the company’s line of XT PersonalComputers, and those of the industry, is found in the table below:Year XT PC Sales Revenue($’000,000)All Industry PC Sales Revenue($’000,000,000)1 2.4 4.62 5.9 8.63 15.5 10.74 27.8 14.85 35.9 18.56 38.1 19.4Required:A. Assuming that the sales data above are representative of sales expected nextyear, use time series regression analysis to forecast next year’s sales revenues(there is no seasonal effect).B. Perform a regression analysis between the annual sales revenues of XTPersonal Computers and all industry PC annual sales revenues. What is theforecast for next year’s sales revenue for XT Personal Computers if the estimateof next year’s industry PC sales revenues is $21.9 billion? C. Advise management at Integrated Products Corporation (IPC) which of the twosales estimates from parts A and B above they should use. Justify your…Integrated Products Corporation (IPC) needs to estimate its PC sales for next year.The most recent six years of revenue data for the company’s line of XT PersonalComputers, and those of the industry, is found in the table below:Year XT PC Sales Revenue($’000,000)All Industry PC Sales Revenue($’000,000,000)1 2.4 4.62 5.9 8.63 15.5 10.74 27.8 14.85 35.9 18.56 38.1 19.4Required:A. Assuming that the sales data above are representative of sales expected nextyear, use time series regression analysis to forecast next year’s sales revenues(there is no seasonal effect).B. Perform a regression analysis between the annual sales revenues of XTPersonal Computers and all industry PC annual sales revenues. What is theforecast for next year’s sales revenue for XT Personal Computers if the estimateof next year’s industry PC sales revenues is $21.9 billion?
- Software development is an inherently risky and uncertain process. For example, there are many examples of software that couldnt be finished by the scheduled release datebugs still remained and features werent ready. (Many people believe this was the case with Office 2007.) How might you simulate the development of a software product? What random inputs would be required? Which outputs would be of interest? Which measures of the probability distributions of these outputs would be most important?If a monopolist produces q units, she can charge 400 4q dollars per unit. The variable cost is 60 per unit. a. How can the monopolist maximize her profit? b. If the monopolist must pay a sales tax of 5% of the selling price per unit, will she increase or decrease production (relative to the situation with no sales tax)? c. Continuing part b, use SolverTable to see how a change in the sales tax affects the optimal solution. Let the sales tax vary from 0% to 8% in increments of 0.5%.The top management in the organization needs to find a balance among the SBUs that help achieve the overall organizational growth and profits with an acceptable level of risk. Go over Exhibit 2.3 (image 1), and Exhibit 2.4 (image 2), and briefly discuss how the BCG Matrix and/or General Electric Model help the organizations to optimize the utilization of its resources to achieve its goals and objectives.
- The cost data for Evencoat Paint for the year 2019 is as follows: Month Gallons ofPaintProduced EquipmentMaintenanceExpenses January 110,000 $70,700 February 68,000 66,800 March 71,000 67,000 April 77,000 68,100 May 95,000 69,200 June 101,000 70,300 July 125,000 70,400 August 95,000 68,900 September 95,000 69,500 October 89,000 68,600 November 128,000 72,800 December 122,000 71,450 A. Using the high-low method, express the company’s maintenance costs as an equation where x represents the gallons of paint produced. Then estimate the fixed and variable costs. Fixed cost $ Variable cost $Write “True” if the statement is true and write “False” if the statement is false.1. With the emergence of the information era, companies need to create value from theirintangible assets as well as their physical and financial assets.2. The primary purpose of balanced scorecard is to obtain increased operating profits for thecurrent year.3. To achieve success, it is important to set non-financial objectives as well as financial objectives.4. Different value propositions lead to different balanced scorecards.5. A properly constructed balanced scorecard tells the story of a business unit’s strategy.6. Strategy is about selecting the set of activities in which the organization will excel to create asustainable difference in the market.7. The vision and mission statement set the general direction for the organization.8. To create the balanced scorecard, first measures are identified and then translated intoobjectives.9. One valuable measure for the customer perspective of the balanced…Analyse how the Wiig KM model compares and contrasts with the SECI model. Explain the role that each factor plays in making your solution a success. If not, have you considered expanding the models to include the components that are now absent? If any of these suggestions were to be implemented, what challenges do you foresee and how would you plan to overcome them?