If a forecast is too high when compared to an actual outcome, will that forecast error be positive or negative?
Q: Explain the term for forecast that is used for making day to day decisions about meeting demand
A: The forecasting cycle of an organization is partitioned into two sections including strategic and…
Q: Does a correct forecast prove that your forecast method was correct? Why or why not?
A: Forecasting is important as it helps a business in setting the correct level of inventory, set the…
Q: Explain the word "false" for a successful forecast?
A: A difference between real and forecasted values is referred to as "fake" in forecasting strategies.…
Q: Given an actual demand of 103, a previous forecast value of 99, and an alpha of .4, the exponential…
A: Forecast using the exponential smoothing method: Demand for current period = 103 Forecast for…
Q: Given the following demand data,a. Compute a weighted average forecast using a weight of .40 for the…
A: 4-period weighted average forecast: Formula: Answer:
Q: Explain in detail about Collaborative Planning, Forecasting and Replenishment (CPFR)?
A: Collaborative planning ,forecasting and replenishment - It is a process which combines several…
Q: Which of the following is used to describe the degree of forecast error? a. Median and Mode b. Mean…
A: Mean absolute percent error is the method to describe the degree of relationship between errors for…
Q: (a) Compute a weighted average forecast for the data listed below using a weight of 0.40 for the…
A:
Q: No single forecast methodology is appropriate under all conditions True or false?
A: Answer: What is Forecasting: Forecasting is an attempt to predict future events which will be used…
Q: The demand data for Double T Computer Services appears below. The company wants you to forecast the…
A: THE ANSWER IS AS BELOW:
Q: Using the moving average forecast, is it possible to forecast a demand that is biggerthan any…
A: Forecasting is the procedure of prediction making for the future grounded on past as well as present…
Q: Explain why forecasts are generally wrong.
A: Forecasting is used to predict future changes or demand patterns.
Q: Although a demand forecast is usually not accurate, managers must forecast demand. In this context…
A: The answer is as below:
Q: When a business is started, or a patent idea needs funding, venture capitalists or investment…
A: A profitability forecast is a set of figures included in a business plan. The result of forecasting…
Q: Daily high temperatures in st. Louis for the last week were as follows:…
A: Given information:Temperatures in last week is 33,33,38,36,43,23,28
Q: Describe the exponential smoothing forecast?
A: In exponential smoothing forecasting, all the values of past demand are taken into consideration by…
Q: Forecast accuracy decreases with the long range forecast. True or False? Explain
A: Forecasting is a technique of predicting future events based on historical data and projecting them…
Q: Three popular measures of forecast accuracy are:a) total error, average error, and mean error.b)…
A: Forecast accuracy is important because it ensures the reliability and validity of data. Forecasting…
Q: 3. You are using a 3 period moving average to calculate your forecast. Demand for period 1 was 90…
A: Given information:Demand period 1=90unitsDemand period 2=80unitsDemand period4=90unitsHere we have…
Q: Do you think that hard rock cafe makes use of time horizons when forecasting explain with 3 points.
A: The three types of forecasting time horizons are, 1. Long range forecasting: A long range…
Q: Compute the weighted average forecast using the following weights: 0.20, 0.30, 0.10, and 0.40
A:
Q: What should be our forecast accuracy target if there is a high degree of volatility in customer…
A: Forecasting is the process of estimating the future demand according to the historic or previous…
Q: When a new business is started, or a patent idea needs funding, venture capitalists or investment…
A: Business Forecasting is important for both startups as well as existing businesses. The new age…
Q: orecast demand for each week, including week 10, using exponential smoothing with a 5 .5 (initial…
A: Exponential smoothing is forecasting method which identifying the farecasting value based on the…
Q: How does the number of periods in a moving average affect the responsiveness of the forecast?
A: A moving average forecast method takes into account instead of the last actual data, a number of…
Q: The following table shows the actual demand observed over the last 11 years:…
A:
Q: they need a good forecast so that they will know how many fabrics to purchase and stock. For the…
A: The controlling input of the exponential smoothing calculation is defined as the smoothing factor…
Q: Sunrise is planning its purchases of ingredients for bread production. If bread demand had been…
A: Exponential smoothing could be a statistic statement technique for univariate information that may…
Q: How can the Forecast technique be improved?
A: Forecasting is a tool or technique which is used to predict future demand, risk and to analyze the…
Q: Explain how can does the number of periods in a moving average affect the responsiveness of the…
A: Moving Average (MA) forecasting calculates the average over a certain number of periods in order to…
Q: Predict the forecast for week 35 using an exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant of 0.20.
A: Forecasting is the process of prediction in which sales demand is estimated using historic…
Q: (a) Suppose the data in the table below represents total revenues (in $ millions) for one real…
A: Below is the solution:-
Q: What is the term for forecasts used for making day-to-day decisions about meeting demand?
A: Forecasting is a technique used to predict future events using quantitative and qualitative methods…
Q: Three popular measures of forecast accuracy are: average error, median error, and maximum error.…
A: The accuracy of the forecast can be determined by comparing the actual or real values with the…
Q: Considering the fact that the number of students is relatively constant throughout the academic…
A: 1. The formula for 3 month weighted moving average IS- Ft = wt-1*Dt-12Dt-2 3Dt-3 Where, Ft =…
Q: Forecast bias is useful to determine a. Seasonality b. Trends c. if forecast error is…
A: A forecast bias happens when there are differences between actual outcomes and previously generated…
Q: Which time-series forecasting method works best if the company assumes that product demand will…
A: Forecasts are a basic input in the decision processes of operations management because they provide…
Q: How can we monitor and control forecast in our interior designing business. Please provide with a…
A: Small Introduction about Forecast Control Because forecast explosion only creates exploded forecast…
Q: what is the advantage of using double exponential smoothing over regression?
A: You can use both double exponential smoothing and regression to forecast a demand pattern with a…
Q: Summarize forecast errors and use summaries to make decisions.
A: The accuracy of a forecast is an important factor when there is an option to decided among various…
Q: The forecast for the month of March considering smoothing coefficient as 0.75 is.....
A: Exponential smoothing is a forecasting method for a data with 1 variable that can be used to…
Q: How does this forecast differ from that using employment as the independent variable? What is the…
A: Forecasting is a method of making well-informed forecasts regarding the direction of future trends…
Q: Given the actual demand of 300, the previous forecast of 300, and an alpha of 0.048 , which one of…
A: The actual demand =300 The previous forecast = 300 Alpha = 0.048
Q: A forecast is usually classified by the future time horizon that it covers. True or false? Describe…
A: This statement is true because- Forecasts are classified according to time, use and period.…
Q: Sales for a product for the past three months have been 203, 365, and 293. Use a three-month moving…
A:
Q: Given an actual demand this period of 105, a forecast value for this period of 100, and an alpha of…
A: n exponential smoothing forecast, Next forecast = Previous forecast+α(Actual-Previous forecast)
Q: Which of the following scenarios is the most credible forecast over the next decade. (Choose ONLY 1…
A: Globalization in business is inevitable is one of the most credible forecasts over the next decade.
Q: Using the double exponential smoothing forecast, is it possible to forecast a demand thatis bigger…
A: Forecasting is a prediction method that can use historical data and current market trends and…
snip
Trending now
This is a popular solution!
Step by step
Solved in 2 steps
- Under what conditions might a firm use multiple forecasting methods?Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. Is Ben Gibson acting legally? Is he acting ethically? Why or why not?Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. As the Marketing Manager for Southeastern Corrugated, what would you do upon receiving the request for quotation from Coastal Products?
- Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. Ethical decisions that affect a buyers ethical perspective usually involve the organizational environment, cultural environment, personal environment, and industry environment. Analyze this scenario using these four variables.Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What should Sharon do in this situation?Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What does the Institute of Supply Management code of ethics say about financial conflicts of interest?
- The Baker Company wants to develop a budget to predict how overhead costs vary with activity levels. Management is trying to decide whether direct labor hours (DLH) or units produced is the better measure of activity for the firm. Monthly data for the preceding 24 months appear in the file P13_40.xlsx. Use regression analysis to determine which measure, DLH or Units (or both), should be used for the budget. How would the regression equation be used to obtain the budget for the firms overhead costs?No single forecast methodology is appropriate under all conditions True or false?When a new business is started, or a patent idea needs funding, venture capitalists or investment bankers will want to see a business plan that includes forecast information related to a profit and loss statement. What type of forecasting information would be required?
- When a business is started, or a patent idea needs funding, venture capitalists or investment bankers will want to see a business plan that includes forecast information related to a profit and loss statement. What type of forecasting information do you suppose would be required?How can you evaluate the accuracy of a forecast model? explain in detail