In China, the birth ratio is claimed to be 100 girls to 114 boys (46.7% girls). Suppose you don't believe the reported figures of the percent of girls born in China. You conduct a study. In this study, you count the number of girls and boys born in 150 randomly chosen recent births. There are 64 girls and 86 boys born of the 150. Based on your study, do you believe that the percent of girls born in China is 46.7%? Conduct a hypothesis test at the 5% significance level. Part (a) State the null hypothesis. H0:  p ≥ 0.467 H0:  p = 0.467     H0:  p ≤ 0.467 H0:  p ≠ 0.467 Part (b) State the alternative hypothesis. Ha:  p < 0.467 Ha:  p > 0.467     Ha:  p ≠ 0.467 Ha:  p = 0.467 Part (c) In words, state what your random variable P' represents. P' represents the percent of boys born in China.P' represents the percent of girls born in China.    P' represents the number of girls born in China.P' represents the ratio of girls to boys in China.

Glencoe Algebra 1, Student Edition, 9780079039897, 0079039898, 2018
18th Edition
ISBN:9780079039897
Author:Carter
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Chapter10: Statistics
Section10.6: Summarizing Categorical Data
Problem 10CYU
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In China, the birth ratio is claimed to be 100 girls to 114 boys (46.7% girls). Suppose you don't believe the reported figures of the percent of girls born in China. You conduct a study. In this study, you count the number of girls and boys born in 150 randomly chosen recent births. There are 64 girls and 86 boys born of the 150. Based on your study, do you believe that the percent of girls born in China is 46.7%? Conduct a hypothesis test at the 5% significance level.

  • Part (a)

    State the null hypothesis.
    H0:
     p ≥ 0.467
    H0:
     p = 0.467    
    H0:
     p ≤ 0.467
    H0:
     p ≠ 0.467
  • Part (b)

    State the alternative hypothesis.
    Ha:
     p < 0.467
    Ha:
     p > 0.467    
    Ha:
     p ≠ 0.467
    Ha:
     p = 0.467
  • Part (c)

    In words, state what your random variable P' represents.
    P' represents the percent of boys born in China.P' represents the percent of girls born in China.    P' represents the number of girls born in China.P' represents the ratio of girls to boys in China.
  • Part (d)

    State the distribution to use for the test. (Round your answers to four decimal places.)
    P' ~  
     
      ,  
     
  • Part (e)

    What is the test statistic? (If using the z distribution round your answers to two decimal places, and if using the t distribution round your answers to three decimal places.)
        = 
  • Part (f)

    What is the p-value? (Round your answer to four decimal places.)


    Explain what the p-value means for this problem.
    If 
    H0
     is true, then there is a chance equal to the p-value that the sample ratio is 64 out of 150 or less OR 76 out of 150 or more.If 
    H0
     is false, then there is a chance equal to the p-value that the sample ratio is not 64 out of 150 or less OR 76 out of 150 or more.    If 
    H0
     is false, then there is a chance equal to the p-value that the sample ratio is 64 out of 150 or less OR 76 out of 150 or more.If 
    H0
     is true, then there is a chance equal to the p-value that the sample ratio is not 64 out of 150 or less OR 76 out of 150 or more.
  • Part (g)

    Sketch a picture of this situation. Label and scale the horizontal axis and shade the region(s) corresponding to the p-value.
       
       
  • Part (h)

    Indicate the correct decision ("reject" or "do not reject" the null hypothesis), the reason for it, and write an appropriate conclusion.
    (i) Alpha (Enter an exact number as an integer, fraction, or decimal.)
    ? = 

    (ii) Decision:
    reject the null hypothesisdo not reject the null hypothesis    

    (iii) Reason for decision:
    Since p-value > ?, we reject the null hypothesis.Since p-value > ?, we do not reject the null hypothesis.    Since p-value < ?, we reject the null hypothesis.Since p-value < ?, we do not reject the null hypothesis.

    (iv) Conclusion:
    There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the percent of girls born in China is not equal to 46.7%.There is not sufficient evidence to conclude that the percent of girls born in China is not equal to 46.7%.    
  • Part (i)

    Construct a 95% confidence interval for the true proportion. Sketch the graph of the situation. Label the point estimate and the lower and upper bounds of the confidence interval. (Round your answers to four decimal places.)
     
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