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- In late 1980, the U.S. Commerce Department released new data showing inflation was 15%. At the time, the prime rate of interest was 21%, a record high. However, many investors expected the new Reagan administration to be more effective in controlling inflation than the Carter administration had been. Moreover, many observers believed that the extremely high interest rates and generally tight credit, which resulted from the Federal Reserve System's attempts to curb the inflation rate, would lead to a recession, which, in turn, would lead to a decline in inflation and interest rates. Assume that at the beginning of 1981, the expected inflation rate for 1981 was 12%; for 1982, 9%; for 1983, 7%; and for 1984 and thereafter, 6% Assuming a real risk-free rate of 3% and a maturity risk premium that equals 0.1 x (t)%, where t is the number of years to maturity, estimate the interest rate in January 1981 on bonds that mature in 2 years. Round your answer to two decimal places.% Assuming a real…In late 1980, the U.S. Commerce Departmentreleased new data showing inflation was 15%. At the time, the prime rate of interestwas 21%, a record high. However, many investors expected the new Reagan administrationto be more effective in controlling inflation than the Carter administration hadbeen. Moreover, many observers believed that the extremely high interest rates andgenerally tight credit, which resulted from the Federal Reserve System’s attempts tocurb the inflation rate, would lead to a recession, which, in turn, would lead to a declinein inflation and interest rates. Assume that, at the beginning of 1981, the expected inflationrate for 1981 was 13%; for 1982, 9%; for 1983, 7%; and for 1984 and thereafter, 6%.a. What was the average expected inflation rate over the 5-year period 1981–1985? (Usethe arithmetic average.) b. Over the 5-year period, what average nominal interest rate would be expected to producea 2% real risk-free return on 5-year Treasury securities? Assume MRP =…INFLATION AND INTEREST RATES In late 1980, the U.S. Commerce Department released new data showing inflation was 15%. At the time, the prime rate of interest was 21%, a record high. However, many investors expected the new Reagan administration to be more effective in controlling inflation than the Carter administration had been. Moreover, many observers believed that the extremely high interest rates and generally tight credit, which resulted from the Federal Reserve System's attempts to curb the inflation rate, would lead to a recession, which, in turn, would lead to a decline in inflation and interest rates. Assume that at the beginning of 1981, the expected inflation rate for 1981 was 12%; for 1982, 9%; for 1983, 7%; and for 1984 and thereafter, 6%. What was the average expected inflation rate over the 5-year period 1981 - 1985? Round your answer to two decimal places. (Use the arithmetic average.)% Over the 5-year period, what average nominal interest rate would be expected to…
- Suppose in 1978 there is a surprise recession expected to last until 1979 and in response the Bank of England lowers shorts and credibly announces they will remain at that level for the duration of the recession. Immediately following the announcement, the price rose by 1%. By how much did the bank lower shorts?At the end of 2020 and the beginning of 2021, coupon rates on long-term T-notes and T-bonds were near historic lows. Further, the federal government was running a historically large budget deficit in an effort to stimulate an economy battered by COVID-19 and to support millions of unemployed workers. Some investment advisers warned that this could be a particularly bad time to invest in government bonds or bonds in general. Why?Suppose a new and more liberal Congress and administration are elected. Their first orderof business is to take away the independence of the Federal Reserve System and to forcethe Fed to greatly expand the money supply. What effect will this have:a. On the level and slope of the yield curve immediately after the announcement?b. On the level and slope of the yield curve that would exist 2 or 3 years in the future?
- Suppose a new Congress and administration overrule the independence of the Federal Reserve System and force the Fed to greatly expand the money supply. What effect will this have? On the level and slope of the yield curve immediately after the announcement? On the level and slope of the yield curve that would exist two to three years in the future?Hi can you help me with these two problem down below 1. Suppose you observe the following situation: State of Economy Probability of State of Economy Return of Stock A Return of Stock B Bust .15 -.08 -.10 Normal .60 .11 .09 Boom .25 .30 .27 Calculate the expected return on each stock. 2. Indicate whether the following events might cause stocks in general to change price, and whether they might cause Big Widget Corp.’s stock to change price: The government announces that inflation unexpectedly jumped by 2 percent last month. Big Widget’s quarterly earnings report, just issued, generally fell in line with analysts’ expectations. The government reports that economic growth last year was at 3 percent, which generally agreed with most economists’ forecasts. The directors of Big Widget die in a plane crash. Congress approves changes to the tax code that will decreases the top marginal corporate tax rate. The legislation had been debated…Hyperinflation is indicated by all of the following, except: a. The general population prefers to keep its wealthy in nonmonetary assets. b. Interest rates, wages and prices are linked to a price index. c. The cumulative inflation rate over three years is approaching or exceeds 100%. d. All of the choices indicate hyperinflation.
- Along with the crash in the real estate and financial markets, 2008 also was a period of above average inflation. The inflation rate was 5.6% for the 12 months ending June 2008. At the same time, the yield of the US Treasury bond was at 4.53%. Did you notice that the real rate was negative? This means that an investment in a 30-year US Treasury Bond was not even yielding enough to cover the increase in prices. What was the real return on the 30-year T-bond during that time? Convert your answer to a percent but enter numbers only in your response.Assume these were the inflation rates and U.S. stock market and Treasury bill returns between 1929 and 1933: Year Inflation(%) Stock Market Return(%) T-Bill Return(%) 1929 0.5 –13.2 6.1 1930 –5.5 –30.7 2.9 1931 –9.3 –47.6 1.5 1932 –13.2 –8.2 0.8 1933 0.9 64.2 0.6 What was the real return on the stock market in each year? What was the average real return? What was the risk premium in each year? What was the average risk premium?Find a country that has experienced more than two years of reported negative inflation in the last 10 years, can you suggest why this might have happened?