ou are proposing a new project that involves buying a new grinding machine. You are confident in your estimates of costs and returns but are concerned that the salvage value of the machine at the end of 15 years is very uncertain. The manufacturer suggests a salvage value of $2000, based on their past experience. Your own risk assessment suggests that there is only a 30% chance that you will get the entire $2000. There is also a 15% chance that the machine will be obsolete before the end and have no scrap value. What number will you use as the salvage value in your cashflow?

Intermediate Financial Management (MindTap Course List)
13th Edition
ISBN:9781337395083
Author:Eugene F. Brigham, Phillip R. Daves
Publisher:Eugene F. Brigham, Phillip R. Daves
Chapter14: Real Options
Section: Chapter Questions
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You are proposing a new project that involves buying a new grinding machine. You are confident in your estimates of costs and returns but are concerned that the salvage value of the machine at the end of 15 years is very uncertain. The manufacturer suggests a salvage value of $2000, based on their past experience. Your own risk assessment suggests that there is only a 30% chance that you will get the entire $2000. There is also a 15% chance that the machine will be obsolete before the end and have no scrap value.

What number will you use as the salvage value in your cashflow?

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