ou have an option to build a new mall or remove it. A new mall will cost P500M as investment to build it or demolish/remove an old one which cost P150M. To build – 75% chance of high demand – profit is P75M and a 25% weak demand w/ a profit of P25M. To remove – 60% chance of high demand – profit of P50M and a 40& weak demand w/ a profit of P10M. If you are the CEO, should you build or remove it. What is the EVM of either option? Draw the design tree
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You have an option to build a new mall or remove it.
A new mall will cost P500M as investment to build it or demolish/remove an old one which cost P150M.
To build – 75% chance of high demand – profit is P75M and a 25% weak demand w/ a profit of P25M.
To remove – 60% chance of high demand – profit of P50M and a 40& weak demand w/ a profit of P10M.
If you are the CEO, should you build or remove it.
What is the EVM of either option? Draw the design tree.
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- Assume the demand for a companys drug Wozac during the current year is 50,000, and assume demand will grow at 5% a year. If the company builds a plant that can produce x units of Wozac per year, it will cost 16x. Each unit of Wozac is sold for 3. Each unit of Wozac produced incurs a variable production cost of 0.20. It costs 0.40 per year to operate a unit of capacity. Determine how large a Wozac plant the company should build to maximize its expected profit over the next 10 years.You now have 10,000, all of which is invested in a sports team. Each year there is a 60% chance that the value of the team will increase by 60% and a 40% chance that the value of the team will decrease by 60%. Estimate the mean and median value of your investment after 50 years. Explain the large difference between the estimated mean and median.It costs a pharmaceutical company 75,000 to produce a 1000-pound batch of a drug. The average yield from a batch is unknown but the best case is 90% yield (that is, 900 pounds of good drug will be produced), the most likely case is 85% yield, and the worst case is 70% yield. The annual demand for the drug is unknown, with the best case being 20,000 pounds, the most likely case 17,500 pounds, and the worst case 10,000 pounds. The drug sells for 125 per pound and leftover amounts of the drug can be sold for 30 per pound. To maximize annual expected profit, how many batches of the drug should the company produce? You can assume that it will produce the batches only once, before demand for the drug is known.
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- I have a restaurant, but I don't know what demand will be next year. I need to decide whether to expand or not. Regardless of whether I expand or not, there's a 20% chance that I'll have high demand and a 80% chance I'll have low demand.If I expand and I have high demand, I'll get $1M. If I expand and get low demand, I'll make $0. If I don't expand and get high demand, I'll get $200K. If I don't expend and get lo demand, I'll make $100K. What is the expected value of expanding. Answer roudned to the nearest thousand of dollars, so if your asnwer is 434,300, answer 434000. I have a restaurant, but I don't know what demand will be next year. I need to decide whether to expand or not. Regardless of whether I expand or not, there's a 20% chance that I'll have high demand and a 80% chance I'll have low demand.If I expand and I have high demand, I'll get $1M. If I expand and get low demand, I'll make $0. If I don't expand and get high demand, I'll get $200K. If I don't expend and get lo…Suppose we are considering the question of how much capacity to build in the face of uncertain demand. Assume that the cost is $20 per unit of lost sales due to insufficient capacity. Also assume that there is a cost of $7 for each unit of capacity built. The probability of various demand levels is as follows: Demand—X Units Probability of X 0 .05 1 .10 2 .15 3 .20 4 .20 5 .15 6 .10 7 .05 a. How many units of capacity should be built to minimize the total cost of providing capacity plus lost sales? b. State a…Consider a public project with the cost of 500. There are three individuals with the following benefits for the public good: v1=400, v2=200 and v3=0. Which of the following statement is false about the VCG (Vickrey-Clarke-Groves) mechanism? None of the options The budget deficit is 200 VCG mechanism is strategy-proof The tax for individual 3 is equal to 0 The tax for individual 1 is equal to 300
- A small strip-mining coal company is trying to decide whether it should purchase or lease a new clamshell. If purchased, the “shell” will cost $152,500 and is expected to have a $50,000 salvage value after 6 years. Alternatively, the company can lease a clamshell for only $16,000 per year, but the lease payment will have to be made at the beginning of each year. If the clamshell is purchased, it will be leased to other strip-mining companies whenever possible, an activity that is expected to yield revenues of $9,000 per year. If the company’s MARR is 13% per year, should the clamshell be purchased or leased on the basis of a future worth analysis? Assume the annual M&O cost is the same for both options. The future worth when purchased is $ The future worth when leased is $A manager wants to expand summer resort facilities now or wait at least another year. If he expands now and the upcoming summer season is good, the profit will be K246 000; and if not good, the loss will be K60 000. If he delays the expansion for at least a year and the upcoming summer season is good, the profit will be K120 000; if the season is poor, the profit will be K12 000. Required: Assuming the probability of a good summer in both cases is 1/3, use Bayesian analysis to aid the manager.